|

US broad stock market ends the week higher

Dow closes at record high seventh session in a row

US stock indices ended at new highs on Friday with the Dow Jones industrials recording its seventh record close in a row. The dollar retraced higher: the live dollar index data show the ICE US Dollar index, a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of six rival currencies, closed 0.4% higher at 100.932. The Dow Jones average rose less than 0.1% to a record high 20624.05 with shares of UnitedHealth limiting gains. The blue chip index recorded 1.8% gain for the week. S&P 500 closed up 0.2% settling at a record 2328.25, led by telecom and consumer staples stocks. The broad market closed up 1.5% for the week. The Nasdaq composite index gained 0.4% to a record high 5838.58, up 1.8% on week.

Stocks climbed higher as more than 80% of the S&P 500 constituents have reported earnings this season with gains tracking at 4.6% from a year ago, poised to record the first two seasons of consecutive year-over-year earnings growth since early 2015. Driven by investor optimism about US outlook, buoyed by President Trump’s promises to cut taxes and implement major infrastructure spending programs, the rally continues with stock valuations measured by price-to-earnings ratios based on future earnings – the S&P 500 index 12-month forward P/E, climbing to 17.6, its highest level since 2004. Today US markets are closed for President’s Day. This week Markit will publish its purchasing manager’s index for February tomorrow, and January existing home sales and minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting will be released on Wednesday. On Thursday jobless claims will be published, and on Friday January new home sales and the February consumer sentiment index will come out. No major data are expected today.

European stocks end the week higher

European markets ended higher on Friday led by Unilever and Essentra shares. Both the euro and British Pound weakened against the dollar. The Stoxx Europe 600 index gained less than 0.1%. The DAX 30 was little changed at 11757.02. France’s CAC 40 underperformed falling 0.7% and UK’s FTSE 100 ended 0.3% higher at 7299.96.

Shares in Anglo-Dutch consumer goods group Unilever rallied 13% on news the US packaged-foods heavyweight Kraft Heinz Co. made a merger proposal to Unilever that was declined. Today shares of Unilever fell 8% after Unilever Chief Executive Paul Polman declined the offer as having no financial or strategic merit. In economic news, the euro-zone’s current account surplus narrowed in December from an all-time high the previous month, and a surprise 0.3% fall in UK in January was recorded instead of an expected gain. Today at 16:00 CET consumer confidence for February will be released in euro-zone, the tentative outlook is neutral for euro.

Asian stocks mixed

Asian stock indexes are mostly higher today in low volume trading with US markets closed for a holiday. Nikkei gained 0.1% to 19251.08 today as yen weakened against the dollar in thin trading despite a larger-than-expected January trade deficit as imports rose for the first time in two years. Chinese stocks are higher with the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.2% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index 0.5% higher. Australia’s All Ordinaries Index is 0.18% lower with the Australian dollar edging higher against the dollar.

Oil prices rebound

Oil futures prices are rebounding today after closing lower for the previous week on Friday. Concerns about increasing US shale oil output as the number active US drilling rigs rises persist. Goldman Sachs estimates, we estimate US oil production would increase by 405,000 barrels per day between 4Q17 and 4Q16 in five shale plays, assuming the US oil rig count stays at the current level. US energy companies added oil rigs for a fifth consecutive week, Baker Hughes reported on Friday. US Investors are concerned US crude oil output increases may outweigh output cuts by major producers as OPEC reported compliance rate of around 90% with the agreed cuts of almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first half of 2017. April Brent crude rose 0.3% to $55.81 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures exchange on Friday, recording about 1.6% loss for the week.


Want to get more free analytics? Open Demo Account now to get daily news and analytical materials.

Author

Dmitry  Lukashov

Dmitry Lukashov

IFC Markets

Dimtry Lukashov is the senior analyst of IFC Markets. He started his professional career in the financial market as a trader interested in stocks and obligations.

More from Dmitry Lukashov
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.