Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
XAG/USD 1H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: The outlook on silver is strongly bearish, being that it has recently tested the upper bound of the falling wedge in the weekly chart, though we should be wary of a potential rally, considering the nature of the long-term pattern. During the next few days, the metal is expected to cover the distance between the upper and lower trend-lines that form the short-term channel. Even though the hourly and daily technical indicators are bullish, the price should bounce off of 15.39/36 and fall about 60 cents before there is a notable upward correction. The distribution between the bulls and bears in the SWFX market is in favour of a sell-off, as the precious metal is overbought—74% of open positions are long.
CAD/CHF 4H Chart: Double Top
Comment: CAD/CHF is completing a double top in the middle of the major falling wedge (weekly chart). If the rate manages to close beneath the demand area at 0.7180/57, the pair will be set for a 150-pip decline. The technical studies confirm that this scenario is highly likely. However, there is also a notable support level at 0.7118, represented by the long-term moving average.
In case the bulls overpower their counterparts, the focus will shift to the solid 0.7342/07 supply zone, which is capable of stopping any recovery. As for the sentiment in the SWFX market, the attitude towards CAD/CHF is only slightly bearish—44% of positions are long and 56% are short.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
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