Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/SEK 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: There is a bullish pattern emerging in the hourly chart of EUR/SEK. However, we do not expect an immediate rally, being that the currency pair is currently trading right at the upper boundary of the pattern. Moreover, there is an additional formidable supply area nearby, namely 9.40, created by the January high, weekly R2, and daily R1. The near-term outlook is therefore bearish, and the price is expected to dip through the weekly R1 level towards the support trend-line at 9.3050, where it is reinforced by the 200-hour SMA and weekly PP. This should be enough to trigger another round of buying. Meanwhile, the sentiment in the SWFX market is negative—69% of positions are short.
EUR/CHF 1H Chart: Ascending Triangle
Comment: EUR/CHF is in a good position to resume its journey further north, as an ascending triangle implies growing demand for the Euro. In the very short term the price is likely to move away from 1.1160, but the decline should be limited by the up-trend at 1.1115. Eventually, however, resistance at 1.1160 is expected to be broken. Such a scenario is also confirmed by the technical indicators on all three relevant timeframes. The rate should then aim for the weekly R1 level at 1.1180. Next potential target will be only at 1.1277 (weekly R2). On the other hand, if EUR/CHF closes under 1.1115, the pair will probably stabilise near 1.1075/70, where the weekly PP joins forces with the 200-hour SMA.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
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