Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
USD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: While there is a high possibility of a sell-off in the near future, the overall outlook on USD/CAD is bullish. The pair has recently come into contact with the upper boundary of the channel it has been forming since the last week of December. Accordingly, we expect a decline down to 1.43 before another wave. There demand is implied by the lower edge of the pattern and the weekly R1 level. However, if the rate shoots through 1.4450, the focus will shift to the next weekly pivot point near 1.4650. In the meantime, even though the technical indicators are mixed, the sentiment in the market is distinctly bearish, meaning the US Dollar is current oversold, despite being in the up-trend.
EUR/AUD 4H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: The channel emerging in the four-hour chart of EUR/AUD is still of low quality, but our attention was also drawn by the ascending triangle forming between the parallel trend-lines. Judging by the situation, there is likely to be a rally from 1.5570 up to the red trend-line, but after the test the bears should gain control of the pair and drive it back to the lower trend-line, which is currently reinforced by the 200-period SMA. At the same time, the negative bias is implied by the distribution between the long (61%) and short (39%) positions. Alternatively, if the bulls manage to push the price beyond 1.59, the Euro will be in a good position to extend the rally to 1.6250, namely the September high.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
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