Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/USD 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: EUR/USD keeps forming a bullish channel after bottoming out at the beginning of the previous week. Right now the currency pair is moving away from the lower boundary of the channel towards the resistance line at 1.11, though first it will have to overcome supply at 1.1018, namely the Jul 23 high, to confirm the positive outlook. In the longer-term perspective the Euro may be targeting 1.1216 (Jul 10 high). Meanwhile, even if the price closes beneath the lower trend-line, there is an additional support area around 1.0930, created by the weekly PP, Jul 24 low and 200-hour SMA. Nevertheless, the SWFX market is sceptical about a rally, as only 42% of open positions are long.
USD/TRY 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: Earlier this month USD/TRY found solid support around 1.63, which allowed the US Dollar to start a recovery. Considering that the pair has formed an upward channel, the price is likely to keep rising higher, and the target is the June maximum at 2.81. In the meantime, the immediate resistance is at 2.7537, and as soon as we get to 2.78 we should expect a downward correction. As for supports, the closest one is an upward-sloping trend-line at 2.73, followed by a combination of the weekly and monthly PP just beneath 2.72. Despite the arguments for however, the sentiment among the market participants is strongly bearish: 74% of open positions are short.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Australian Dollar maintains ground amid subdued US Dollar, US Nonfarm Payrolls awaited
The Australian Dollar rises on hawkish sentiment surrounding the RBA prolonging higher interest rates. Australia’s central bank is expected to maintain its current rate at 4.35% until the end of September. US Nonfarm Payrolls is expected to print a reading of 243K for April, compared to 303K prior.
EUR/USD: Optimism prevailed, hurting US Dollar demand
The EUR/USD pair advanced for a third consecutive week, accumulating a measly 160 pips in that period. The pair trades around 1.0760 ahead of the close after tumultuous headlines failed to trigger a clear directional path.
Gold bears take action on mixed signals from US economy
Gold price fell more than 2% for the second consecutive week, erased a small portion of its losses but finally came under renewed bearish pressure. The near-term technical outlook points to a loss of bullish momentum as the market focus shifts to Fedspeak.
Bitcoin Cash could become a Cardano partnerchain as 66% of 11.3K voters say “Aye”
Bitcoin Cash is the current mania in the Cardano ecosystem following a proposal by the network’s executive inviting the public to vote on X, about a possible integration.
Week ahead: BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week
Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions.