Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: EUR/CAD bottomed out on May 26, being unable to pierce through support at 1.3430, which has been proving its significance throughout May. As a result, the currency pair is now forming a bullish channel, and the technical indicators reinforce the positive bias. In the short term the exchange rate may fall, but the dip should be limited by 1.3570, where the daily S1 merges with the 200-hour SMA and up-trend. The target is the upper boundary of the pattern at 1.3720, but the bulls will have to push through a potentially dangerous resistance level at 1.3675. Meanwhile, the sentiment is moderately positive, since 59% of open positions are long and the remaining 41% are short.
EUR/USD 1H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: The bullish run we have been observing for the past two days should come to an end. EUR/USD has just come into contact with resistance at 1.0975, which is created by the May 28 high and, more importantly, by the falling trend-line. Accordingly, the present risks are heavily skewed to the downside. The initial target is the May 27 low at 1.0820 (also daily S2 and weekly S1), followed by the Apr 21 low and the lower trend-line at 1.0660. Alternatively, if 1.0975 does not withstand the buying pressure, the 200-hour SMA will likely have to come into play and stop the rally. However, the sentiment of the SWFX market is neutral, being that 48% of open positions are long and 52% are short.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD eases toward 0.6500 after mixed Australian trade data
AUD/USD is seeing some fresh selling interest in the Asian session on Thursday, following the release of mixed Australian trade data. The pair has stalled its recovery mode, as the US Dollar attempts a bounce after the Fed-led sell-off.
USD/JPY holds rebound near 156.00 after probable Japan's intervention-led crash
USD/JPY consolidates the rebound near 156.00, having lost nearly 450 pips in some minutes after the Japanese Yen rallied hard on another suspected Japan FX market intervention in the late American session on Wednesday.
Gold price struggles for a firm intraday direction, hover above $2,300
Gold price fails to lure buyers amid a fresh leg up in the US bond yields, modest USD uptick. A positive risk tone also contributes to capping the upside for the safe-haven precious metal. Traders, however, might prefer to wait for the US NFP report before placing aggressive bets.
Top 3 Price Prediction BTC, ETH, XRP: Altcoins to pump once BTC bottoms out, slow grind up for now
Bitcoin reclaiming above $59,200 would hint that BTC has already bottomed out, setting the tone for a run north. Ethereum holding above $2,900 keeps a bullish reversal pattern viable despite falling momentum. Ripple coils up for a move north as XRP bulls defend $0.5000.
The FOMC whipsaw and more Yen intervention in focus
Market participants clung to every word uttered by Chair Powell as risk assets whipped around in a frenetic fashion during the afternoon US trading session.