USD/CHF 1H Chart: Channel Down

USDCHF

Comment: Since mid-January, the U.S. currency has been losing value against the Swiss Franc and in the second half of February the pair entered a bearish formation-channel down pattern. Being tilted downwards, the currency couple has recently touched a two-year low of 0.8756 that sits on the lower boundary of the tunnel.

At the moment, the instrument is again in the down-trend after a short-lived rebound from the recent low. Meanwhile, market players are relatively optimistic about the pair, being bullish in 65% of cases. Technical data gainsays traders’ expectations, sending a strong ‘sell’ signal for medium term.


NZD/USD 1H Chart: Channel Up

NZDUSD

Comment: A retreat to a six-month low of 0.8053 early February provoked a climb of the New Zealand Dollar versus its U.S. counterpart. However, a formation of the bullish tunnel that now is 123-bar long commenced only in the very end of February when the pair increased the pace of its appreciation.

Now NZD/USD is succumbing to a selling pressure that is pushing the pair to the brink of a breakout. In fact, the currency couple is already trading below the lower limit and considering that more than 70% of traders are bearish on the pair, we may expect the bearish breakout to happen before long.


CAD/JPY 4H Chart: Double Bottom

CADJPY

Comment: After hitting a seven-month high of 99.24, CAD/JPY performed a sharp slump to a two-year low of 90.83, then the pair appreciated slightly but shortly after it again was in the down-trend, thus forming a double bottom pattern.

Currently the pair is moving down after an unsuccessful attempt to penetrate the neck-line at 93.73, which represents the chief hindrance for a rally usually seen after a breakout of the double bottom pattern. Meanwhile, about two thirds of traders are bearish, meaning that the breakout is not likely to occur in the hours to come.


EUR/CAD 4H Chart: Channel Up

EURCAD

Comment: Since the very beginning of the year, the single European currency has been on the rise versus the Canadian Dollar. In mid-January, the pair started to shape a channel up pattern that took the currency couple to a four-year high of 1.5443. The pair now is vacillating slightly above this mark and above the pattern’s resistance, adding to signs that a sharp rally may lie ahead. The SWFX data mostly bolsters the bullish view, showing that 54% of all orders are placed to buy the pair. Technical indicator also are pointing to a rally in the short, medium and long terms.

This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.

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