Market Comments


In mid-morning trading the FTSE 100 is down 65 points, at 6760, as Greece’s banking crisis is starting to seep into the EU.

As funds flow out of Greece the foundations of the eurozone banking system begin to shake. British banks are being dragged into the red as the shockwaves caused by Greece’s crumbling banks can be felt outside the currency union. With no real news regarding Greek national debt being restructured or negotiated, traders are taking their cues from the Athens market by getting out of financial stocks to avoid another round of the debt crisis. As long as Syriza demands debt relief, traders will dump banking stocks.

Shares in Royal Dutch Shell are trading lower after the oil titan posted fourth-quarter adjusted profits that missed analysts' already low estimates. The energy giant has $15 billion worth of spending cuts in the pipeline as the slump in oil price has curtailed its expansion. To keep investors sweet the oil company announced a healthy dividend, but that wasn’t enough to win back traders' confidence as the enormous cut to capital expenditure signals cautious times ahead. Diageo’s first-half update was a touch on the dull side, as marginal growth in the US and stagnation in Europe equated to flat revenue over the period. The drinks company is hoping its expansion in India will compensate for the ailing Chinese business, but this will be difficult to replace. Strong cash flow and a small increase in the interim dividend was welcomed by dealers and the shares are up 1.3% on the day. With the general election in May, IG is offering a binary market on the outcome, which is currently indicating the Conservatives and Labour will win 284 and 282 seats respectively. The SNP might hold the balance of power come May as our market suggests the party will take 32 seats.

We are expecting the Dow Jones to open 10 points higher at 17,200, after the Federal Reserve's statement last night. Traders are pencilling in June for a rate rise from the US central bank, but if energy prices remain weak it could be pushed further out. The US recovery is going to plan, but the Fed's decision will be influenced by factors outside its control.

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AUD/USD weakens further as US Treasury yields boost US Dollar

The Australian Dollar extended its losses against the US Dollar for the second straight day, as higher US Treasury bond yields underpinned the Greenback. On Wednesday, the AUD/USD lost 0.26% as market participants turned risk-averse. As the Asian session begins, the pair trades around 0.6577.

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USD/JPY holds positive ground above 155.50 following the BoJ Summary of Opinions

USD/JPY holds positive ground above 155.50 following the BoJ Summary of Opinions

The USD/JPY pair trades in positive territory for the fourth consecutive day around 155.60 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the fear of further intervention from the Bank of Japan is likely to cap the downside of the Japanese Yen for the time being. 

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Gold price drops amid higher US yields awaiting next week's US inflation

Gold price drops amid higher US yields awaiting next week's US inflation

Gold remained at familiar levels on Wednesday, trading near $2,312 amid rising US Treasury yields and a strong US dollar. Traders await unemployment claims on Thursday, followed by Friday's University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey.

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President Biden threatens crypto with possible veto of Bitcoin custody among trusted custodians

President Biden threatens crypto with possible veto of Bitcoin custody among trusted custodians

Joe Biden could veto legislation that would allow regulated financial institutions to custody Bitcoin and crypto. Biden administration’s stance would disrupt US SEC’s work to protect crypto market investors and efforts to safeguard broader financial system.

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US inflation data in the market purview

US inflation data in the market purview

With next week's pivotal US inflation data looming, we're witnessing a stall in stock market momentum and an uptick in US Treasury yields. This shift comes amid murmurs of hawkish sentiment from Fed speak. Indeed the mind games intensify even further as investors cling to their rate cut hopes.

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