|

GBP/USD analysis: Brexit headlines prevent the pair from surpassing 1.33

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3255

  • Upbeat UK Retail Sales pushed the pair through 1.3200 and led to a dollar sell-off.
  • Back and forth over the Irish border unsolved issue limit Pound's advance.

A soaring Pound led the way lower for the greenback across the board after the GBP/USD pair broke above the 1.3200 threshold, following upbeat UK Retail Sales. Sales rose 0.3% in August against forecasts for a 0.2% drop, and by 3.3% when compared to a year earlier, much better than the 2.3% expected. Furthermore, July readings were upwardly revised to 0.9% and 3.8% respectively. Dollar's sell-off exacerbated the advance, resulting in the GBP/USD pair reaching 1.3297, its highest early July. The Sterling's rally was cooled down by Brexit headlines, and nor the UK, neither the EU wants to give up on their stances on how to deal with the Irish border issue. UK P, May said that there can be no withdrawal agreement without an Irish backstop, and they are preparing for a no-deal scenario. German Chancellor Merkel, on the other hand, said she doesn't want the EU to compromise with the UK on access to the domestic European market.

The GBP/USD pair trades some 40 pips below the mentioned high ahead of the Asian opening, consolidating 100 pips above its previous comfort area. In the 4 hours chart, the pair broke through a major Fibonacci level with a long candle, a sign of strong buying interest, with the 20 SMA now hovering near the mentioned Fibonacci support at around 1.3170. Technical indicators in the mentioned chart have lost upward strength and are currently flat in overbought territory, without indicating a possible upcoming decline, but rather suggesting a new leg higher for this Friday.

Support levels: 1.3225 1.3170 1.3130

Resistance levels: 1.3295 1.3330 1.3380

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher above 0.7050 as hot CPI lifts RBA rate hike odds

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7055 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter inflation data bolsters expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes. The US September Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report will be in the spotlight later on Thursday.



USD/JPY retakes 158.00 as USD stalls the post-FOMC corrective slide

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Thursday, climbing back above 158.00 as the US Dollar reverses part of the post-FOMC pullback from a two-week high. Bulls, however, await key US macro data – the Advance Q3 GDP and the PCE Price Index – before positioning for further gains. Focus will then shift to the crucial BoJ policy update on Friday amid firming expectations for a December rate hike.

Gold weakens further below $4,050 amid Fed rate hike bets and Iran risks

Gold sticks to intraday losses below the $4,050 level heading into the European session ,and for now seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak to the weekly top set the previous day. The US Dollar attracts fresh buyers after Wednesday's post-FOMC corrective slide from a two-week high and is seen as a key factor weighing on the precious metal.

US GDP expected to grow at 3.2% in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis is set to publish its preliminary estimate of the Gross Domestic Product for the July-September period on Thursday, with analysts expecting the data to show annualised growth at a solid 3.2%, a decent improvement from the 2.2% expansion recorded in the previous quarter. Markets brace for US growth and PCE data amid geopolitical jitters

European Central Bank is expected to hold interest rates despite high inflation pressures

The European Central Bank concludes its two-day monetary policy meeting on Thursday and will announce its decision at 13:15 GMT. The bank is widely expected to leave the interest rate on the Main Refinancing Operations and the Deposit Facility unchanged at 2.65% and 2.50%, respectively, after having raised both of them by 25 basis points in September.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.