|

GBP at record lows on tax cuts – More UK interest rate rises to come, USD strength continues [Video]

Did you see the collapse of GBP today? 

I’m Brad Alexander and in this week’s Market Blast Fundamentals let’s take a look at, Gold (XAUUSD), EURUSD, the USD Index, the FTSE (UK100), and GBPUSD.

The new UK Chancellor of the Exchequer announced tax cuts last Friday to try to prop up the economy.

If you know anything about fundamental analysis, you know that tax cuts will negatively affect a currency and we now see these very ugly charts of GBP pairs with GBPUSD at record lows.

Traders are waiting to see if they should go long on GBP as, just down the street from the Chancellor, the Bank of England may have to raise Interest Rates dramatically to offset the fall in GBP and to fight the current inflation.

The weaker GBP has helped to lift the FTSE but be careful here.

The impending raise in Interest Rates should negatively affect UK equities.

The USD Index was over 114 at one point and we can see from our MT4 Profile of USD pairs that USD strength continues which is a huge problem for the global economy, especially emerging markets with USD debt.

The EUR rebounded a little (except against the USD of course) based on the Italian elections but this could be short-lived.

The JPY is starting to look a bit stronger (except against the USD) based on the Bank of Japan’s comments last week.

Speaking of Central Banks, investors will be watching for more clues today from Tokyo, and from Europe with 3 speeches by Christine Lagarde, and a speech from Jerome Powell.

This week will end with GDP figures from Canada, the United States, and the UK, which will move the markets if analysts don’t like the figures.

The current USD strength has pushed price action on Gold lower, below support into the mid-1600s, and we will look at this again tomorrow.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).