Good morning traders.

Below are my thoughts for the hours/day ahead.

Pay close attention to the blue text in these posts (when applicable) as it will refer back to previous comments/forecasts.

Note: the Intra-Day FX Forecasts highlight price direction and likely price targets/stops designed for traders looking at trading opportunities over the next several hours. These are not official trade recommendations, merely guidelines and forecasts, which are pretty darn useful each trading day.

Intra-Day FX Forecasts:

Dollar Index (DXC): Bullish I only repeated this for nearly a week - I guess if you say it enough it will unfold.... I am looking for a thrust higher to suggest that this long and nasty correction is complete. Let's just keep prices above 94.39

GBP/USD: Bearish no change from yesterday: the overnight highs at 1.4350 met the upside Fib target - and prices have since reversed. Below 1.4226 would suggest a new leg lower is underway that would test 1.4000

NZD/USD: Bearish from yesterday: Prices will need to stall, and soon (.6920'ish) and not exceed .6964 if the bears are to retain the upper hand. It was a close call for sure, but price action is getting bearish - we are short via the MTSU

AUD/USD: Bearish from yesterday: like NZD/USD, prices are testing key Fib resistance at .7673 and cannot exceed .7722. A break below .7636 would suggest a new leg lower in underway

NZD/JPY: Cautiously Bearish from yesterday: no change - let's see if a whole host of Fibonacci resistance at 75.00-75.50 can cap this rally. This is a fascinating cross to watch right now. The whole world was bearish last week and are getting tested - still looking for prices to move lower but not ready to join the party....yet.

Have a question for me? Drop me an email

Dave

Advertisement
Only for FXStreet users, experience the FX Alerts service for a full 30-days for only $1! 

 


 

Aspen Trading Group´s FX Commentary, including any content or information contained within it or Aspen Trading Group´s web site, any site-related service, is provided “as is”, with all faults, with no representations or warranties of any kind, either expressed or implied, including, but not limited to, the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and noninfringement. You assume total responsibility and risk for your use of Aspen Trading Group´s commentary/website, site-related services, and hyperlinked websites.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

USD/JPY briefly recaptures 160.00, then pulls back sharply

USD/JPY briefly recaptures 160.00, then pulls back sharply

Having briefly recaptured 160.00, USD/JPY pulls back sharply toward 159.00 on potential Japanese FX intervention risks. The Yen tumbles amid news that Japan's PM lost 3 key seats in the by-election. Holiday-thinned trading exaggerates the USD/JPY price action. 

USD/JPY News

AUD/USD extends gains above 0.6550 on risk flows, hawkish RBA expectations

AUD/USD extends gains above 0.6550 on risk flows, hawkish RBA expectations

AUD/USD extends gains above 0.6550 in the Asian session on Monday. The Aussie pair is underpinned by increased bets of an RBA rate hike at its May policy meeting after the previous week's hot Australian CPI data. Risk flows also power the pair's upside. 

AUD/USD News

Gold stays weak below $2,350 amid risk-on mood, firmer USD

Gold stays weak below $2,350 amid risk-on mood, firmer USD

Gold price trades on a softer note below $2,350 early Monday. The recent US economic data showed that US inflationary pressures stayed firm, supporting the US Dollar at the expense of Gold price. The upbeat mood also adds to the weight on the bright metal. 

Gold News

Ethereum fees drops to lowest level since October, ETH sustains above $3,200

Ethereum fees drops to lowest level since October, ETH sustains above $3,200

Ethereum’s high transaction fees has been a sticky issue for the blockchain in the past. This led to Layer 2 chains and scaling solutions developing alternatives for users looking to transact at a lower cost. 

Read more

Week ahead: Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead: Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures