Analysis for December 29th, 2014
EUR USD, “Euro vs US Dollar”
Eurodollar is still moving inside a narrow consolidation channel. We think, today the price may continue falling to reach level of 1.2100. Later, in our opinion, the market may form another consolidation range and then continue falling towards level of 1.2000.
GBP USD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”
Pound continues forming an ascending structure. We think, today the price may reach level of 1.5600 and then form a correction towards level of 1.5525. After the pair completes this pattern, we’ll estimate if such structure may form another ascending wave.
USD CHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”
Franc is still consolidating near its high. We think, today the price may grow and reach level of 0.9930. Later, in our opinion, the market may form a consolidation range and then grow towards level of 1.0000.
USD JPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”
Yen is still forming a consolidation channel near the top. We think, today the price may grow to reach level of 121.30. Later, in our opinion, the market may form another consolidation range and continue moving upwards with the target at level of 121.70.
AUD USD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”
Australian Dollar is also consolidating. We think, today the price may fall to reach level of 0.8050. Later, in our opinion, the market may form another consolidation channel and then continue moving downwards to reach level of 0.8000.
USD RUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”
Ruble is trying to start a correction with the target at level of 60.00. Possibly, the regulator may put the pressure on the pair and the market may continue falling towards level of 45.00 without any corrections. However, after reaching this level, the price is expected to start a serious correction to return to level of 60.00.
XAU USD, “Gold vs US Dollar”
Gold is still forming an ascending structure towards level of 1210. After reaching it, the price may fall towards level of 1200 and then resume moving upwards. The market is forming the fifth wave with the target at level of 1250.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower to near 1.0750 after hawkish remarks from a Fed official
EUR/USD extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 1.0750 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar gains ground due to the expectations of the Federal Reserve’s prolonging higher interest rates.
GBP/USD hovers around 1.2500 on the stronger US Dollar, focus on BoE rate decision
The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.2500 on Wednesday during the Asian session. The USD Index recovers modestly to 105.40, which drags the major pair lower. Investors focus on the upcoming Bank of England's monetary policy meeting.
Gold price recovers its recent losses, despite a firmer US Dollar
Gold price attracts some buyers during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Safe-haven demand, fueled by geopolitical tensions and uncertainty, as well as ongoing central bank purchases, might contribute to a rally in gold.
Ethereum resume sideways move as Grayscale files to withdraw Ethereum futures ETF application with the SEC
Ethereum is hinting at a resumption of a sideways movement on Tuesday after seeing inflows for the first time in seven weeks. Grayscale withdrew its application for an Ethereum futures ETF, and the SEC’s Chair Gary Gensler has also called most crypto assets securities.
No obvious macro catalysts to steer the bus
The US data calendar remains relatively light, with initial jobless claims and the University of Michigan survey being the key focus. However, these releases may not provide a significant catalyst for the next directional move in the US Dollar.