EUR/USD Current Price: 1.1902
- EU Retail Sales beat expectations, surging by 3% MoM in February.
- US Treasury yields ticked higher after auctions but fell short of boosting the greenback.
- EUR/USD holds near monthly highs but lacks enough directional strength.
The American dollar ended the day down against most major rivals this Monday, after a positive start to the week. The EUR/USD pair ends the day at the upper end of its daily range, a handful of pips above the 1.1900 figure. The risk-related sentiment led the way, with currencies following the lead of stocks. Equities started the week on a negative footing, although European indexes closed away from daily lows while US ones posted modest losses, limiting demand for the American currency.
In general, investors maintained a cautious stance ahead of the next relevant catalyst after US Federal Reserve head Jerome Powell cooled expectations for higher inflation in the US. Data wise, the EU published February Retail Sales, which were up by 3% MoM, and down 2.9% YoY, beating the market’s expectations. The US macroeconomic calendar had nothing to offer.
On Tuesday, Germany will publish the April ZEW survey with the Economic Sentiment in the country is foreseen at 79.5 and the EU one at 73.2. The US will publish March CPI data, with the annual core inflation foreseen at 0.2%.
EUR/USD short-term technical outlook
The EUR/USD pair is neutral-to-bullish, trading near the April monthly high at 1.1927. The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is consolidating a few pips above a mildly bearish 200 SMA, while the 20 SMA loses its bullish strength below it. The RSI indicator consolidated around 63 while the Momentum indicator heads marginally lower above its midline. The pair would need to advance above 1.1930 to gain bullish traction and aim for a test of 1.2000.
Support levels: 1.1870 1.1825 1.1785
Resistance levels: 1.1930 1.1965 1.2000
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.