|

EUR/USD faces a wall of resistance as markets digest Lagarde's nomination – Confluence Detector

EUR/USD has been under pressure below 1.1300 and may have a hard time recapturing this level. Markets are digesting the nomination of IMF MD Christine Lagarde to lead the European Central Bank – and she may extend the dovish stance of incumbent Mario Draghi. What technical levels should we watch?

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that EUR/USD faces an area of resistance starting from 1.1296 and culminating at 1.1319. It is a dense cluster of lines including the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Simple Moving Average 100-4h, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the Bollinger Band one-hour Upper, the PP one-week S2, the SMA 50-1h, the BB 1d-Middle, the SMA 10-4h, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day, and more lines.

If the world's most-popular currency pair exceeds this level, some resistance awaits at 1.1343 where we see the convergence of the SMA 5-1d, the SMA 200-1d, and the PP 1d-R2.

Looking down, weak support awaits at 1.1250 where we note the confluence of SMA 200-4h and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month. 

Further down, even weaker support awaits at 1.1219 where the Pivot Point one-month S1 meets the SMA 50-1d.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD confluence analysis July 3 2019

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.