Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
EUR/CHF
The EURCHF remains in firmly red and hits the lowest since March 7 on Wednesday, with parity level being in focus.
The Swiss franc continues to benefit from the recent shift in the Swiss National Bank’s monetary policy as the central bank raised interest rates last week by 50% basis points from -0.75% to -0.25%, in its first hike since 2007, surprising the wide expectations for unchanged policy.
The SNB argued its decision that inflation in Switzerland edged above their 0% - 2% target and also following the other central banks which further tightened their policies as inflation continues to rise and hurt the economies.
The SNB also signaled that further hikes cannot be ruled out that would keep the franc supported.
Bears broke again below pivotal Fibo support at 1.0146 (61.8% of 0.8977/1.2004, 2015/2018 rally) and look for a monthly close below this level to confirm bearish stance for an eventual attack at parity level and possible retest of Jan 2015 spike low at 0.8997.
Daily studies remain bearish but stretched that signals bears may face headwinds on approach to psychological parity support, with upticks to stay below falling 10DMA (1.0131) to keep bears intact and offer better selling opportunities.
Res: 1.0087; 1.0110; 1.0131; 1.0157.
Sup: 1.0025; 1.0000; 0.9706; 0.9500.
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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