Investors following tactical and medium-term strategies should consider staying short EUR/USD into the ECB October meeting on Thursday and the US jobs report on Friday, advises Barclays Capital in a note to clients.

On the ECB meeting, Barclays' expectations are as follow:

"ECB President Draghi will likely stay on the dovish side at the press conference following the ECB meeting (Thursday). While no policy change is expected after a large move at the September meeting, the markets will be watching for the details of ABS/CB purchase program to be released at this meeting and any sign of future EGB purchase during his press conference, which we expect to be officially announced by Q1 15," Barclays projects.

On the US jobs report, Barclays' expectations are as follow:

"In the US, the September employment report will be the focus and we expect solid employment report (Friday) and look for decent upside surprises, with September headline nonfarm payrolls of 250k (consensus: 215k) and a one-tenth decline in the unemployment rate, to 6.0% (consensus: 6.1%)," Barclays adds.

"Such divergence in data and monetary policy outlook between the US and the euro area should confirm our medium-term EURUSD bearish view," Barclays concludes.

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