Good Morning,

- Dollar trade on defensive mode and Aussie hit at 3-week after stronger-than-expected jobs data…

- The dollar was slightly up against the euro and yen after dropping the previous day on weak U.S. industrial output and New York State manufacturing activity data. The soft indicators fed uncertainty over the timing of the Federal Reserve's next interest rate hike.

- Wall Street’s banks are telling clients that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise rates when its board meets in June. We've spoken to a half dozen industry sources and all said they don't believe the Fed will raise rates until September at the soonest. This is certain to have wide-ranging impacts: the Fed keeping rates at 0% will support M&A, and could breathe life back into an otherwise limp IPO pipeline. If the Fed decides to not increase rates in June, the market will have until September before the next prospective rate hike. “It’s priced into the market, but not yet for M&A arbitrage funds,” said one hedge fund professional at a multi-billion dollar fund.

- Fed's Lacker: Widely expected Fed to raise rates this year, indicators point to need to raise rates this year.

- Barclays on Euro & British pound. EUR/USD: We prefer to fade upticks towards the 1.0800 area and look for a move below 1.0520 to confirm downside toward initial targets near 1.0460 and then the 1.0390 area. Nearby resistance is in the 1.0710 area. GBP/USD: Upticks provide better levels to sell within context of the greater bearish trend. We prefer to fade gains and look for a move lower towards 1.4500.

- British house prices grew at their fastest pace in five months in March, fuelled by a shortage of properties, a survey showed on Thursday, adding to other signs that a cooling of the market may be ending. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors' (RICS) monthly house price balance rose to +21 in March, above all forecasts in a Reuters poll, from +15 in February. There were signs that uncertainty about the May 7 election was causing sellers to hold off from putting properties on the market, RICS said.

- Australian unemployment unexpectedly fell in March, indicating the central bank’s effort to shore up confidence with record-low interest rates is showing signs of paying off. The local currency surged. The jobless rate dropped to 6.1 percent from a revised 6.2 percent, the statistics bureau said in Sydney on Thursday, following annual seasonal reanalysis of data. That compares with a median estimate of 6.3 percent in a Bloomberg survey.

- The Canadian dollar stood a head taller than its peers, jumping to a three-month high of C$1.2251 per USD after the Bank of Canada surprised the markets by indicating no further easing were imminent.

- Stock market fever is sweeping China. Chinese equities are officially on fire. The Shanghai Composite has skyrocketed 78% since just before Halloween. It recently crested the 4,000 level for the first time since the financial crisis. Yet stocks in China have achieved red-hot status just as the country's economy is going through a cooling off period. Growth slowed to the weakest pace since 2009. In other words, exuberance for Chinese stocks isn't being backed up by fundamentals.

- Brent crude rose as high as $63.43 a barrel, highest since December 2014. U.S. crude was up at $56 level a barrel after jumping nearly 6 percent on Wednesday at $56.66 .

- Watch today: US housing, US jobless claims, Philly Fed.

Have a nice Day!

Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 ahead of US jobs report

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 ahead of US jobs report

EUR/USD stays in a consolidation phase above 1.0700 after closing the previous two days in positive territory. Investors eagerly await April jobs report from the US, which will include Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate readings.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD advances to 1.2550, all eyes on US NFP data

GBP/USD advances to 1.2550, all eyes on US NFP data

The GBP/USD pair trades on a stronger note around 1.2550 amid the softer US Dollar on Friday. Market participants refrain from taking large positions as focus shifts to April Nonfarm Payrolls and ISM Services PMI data from the US.

GBP/USD News

Gold remains stuck near $2,300 ahead of US NFP

Gold remains stuck near $2,300 ahead of US NFP

Gold price struggles to gain any meaningful traction and trades in a tight channel near $2,300. The Fed’s less hawkish outlook drags the USD to a multi-week low and lends support to XAU/USD ahead of the key US NFP data.

Gold News

XRP edges up after week-long decline as Ripple files letter in reply to SEC’s motion

XRP edges up after week-long decline as Ripple files letter in reply to SEC’s motion

Ripple filed a letter to the court to support its April 22 motion to strike new expert materials. The legal clash concerns whether SEC accountant Andrea Fox's testimony should be treated as a summary or expert witness. 

Read more

US NFP Forecast: Nonfarm Payrolls gains expected to cool in April

US NFP Forecast: Nonfarm Payrolls gains expected to cool in April

The NFP report is expected to show that the US economy added 243,000 jobs last month, sharply lower than the 303,000 job creation seen in March. The Unemployment Rate is set to stay unchanged at 3.8% in the same period.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures