GBPUSD: Approaches potential sell-zone

UP NEXT:

• EUR: With ECB now not expected to act next week with extra stimulus, EURUSD may continue to rebound from the lows. Considering this we could assume that even mediocre news from Europe could help EURUSD rebound from the lows with less effort.

• US: Core PCE is widely regarded as the 'real' inflation gauge used bythe FED so could end up being the headline figure if it comes in or above 2%. GDP has high expectation at 4% so any shortfall here could also help USD retrace further across the majors board. Employment and Housing is unlikely to be the main driver tonight, but if if we see it back up inflation and growth data we should be presented with cleaner trends.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

AUDUSD: Hangs near 3-week highs

I suspect that US data will deliver tonight and to bring downwards pressure upon AUDUSD. However with Europe and London due to open we do run the risk of further highs, as they absorb good CAPEX data and buy before the US data dump tonight.

0.937 is the 3-week high with a break above here targeting 0.9380 and 0.9340. Positive data from US should see AUDUSD back below 0.937.

GBPUSD: Approaches potential sell-zone

Gold remains within a clearly bearish channel and there are obvious zones of resistance to sell into, should we be presented with signs of weakness around these levels.

Cable is currently enjoying a retracement from the lows, but whilst we remain within the bearish channel then bearish setups at resistance is preferred.

A break out of the bullish channel may provide near-term long positions, but there are plenty of levels of resistance which could be used as target, so try not to outstay your welcome trading against the trend.

GOLD: $1292 is the line in the sand

$1292 is a pivotal S/R level which was also the high from the Shooting Star Reversal. Yesterday was an Inside Day to suggest a hesitation to retest these highs but at time of writing we are close to breaching the high from the Inside Day. What would be nice to see is for yesterday's high to hold - then we can assume the Shooting Star Reversal was a swing high, and to seek a short position down to $1274. A break below here opens up $1259.

​The counter-analysis is to seek bullish setups above $1292 to target $1300-$1302.