Good morning from Hamburg and welcome to our latest Daily FX Report. Turkey shot down a Russian warplane near the Syrian border on Tuesday, saying the jet had violated its air space, in one of the most serious publicly acknowledged clashes between a NATO member country and Russia for half a century. Russian President Vladimir Putin said the plane had been attacked when it was 1 km (0.62 mile) inside Syria and warned of "serious consequences" for what he termed a stab in the back administered by "the accomplices of terrorists". "We will never tolerate such crimes like the one committed today," Putin said, as Russian and Turkish shares fell on fears of an escalation between the former Cold War enemies. In a letter to the U.N. Security Council, Turkey said it had shot down the jet while in Turkish air space. Along with a second plane, the aircraft had flown more than a mile into Turkey for 17 seconds, despite being warned 10 times in five minutes while approaching to change direction, the letter said.

Anyway, we wish you a successful trading day!


Market Review – Fundamental Perspective

The U.S. economy grew at a 2.1 percent pace in the third-quarter, compared with an earlier estimate of 1.5 percent, data showed, but consumer sentiment in November was the weakest since September 2014 ahead of the crucial holiday shopping season. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 19.51 points, or 0.11 percent, to 17,812.19, the S&P 500 gained 2.55 points, or 0.12 percent, to 2,089.14 and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.33 points, or 0.01 percent, to 5,102.81. U.S. shares closed higher on Tuesday as energy stocks rose along with oil prices after Turkey shot down a Russian warplane near the Syrian border. The three major U.S. indexes recovered from a morning selloff that was triggered by the overseas news despite some strong U.S. economic data. Oil prices hit two-week highs, with Brent futures rising 2.9 percent to settle at $46.12 a barrel and U.S. crude gaining 2.7 percent to settle at $42.87. The dollar index, which measures the dollar against six major world currencies, fell 0.2 percent. Against the Japanese yen, the currency fell to 122.56 yen, off 0.2 percent. Gold rose, recovering from near six-year lows after news of the plane's downing. Spot gold rose as much as 1.1 percent to $1,080.51 and was last up 0.5 percent at $1,074.61 an ounce.


Daily Technical Analysis

XAU/USD (Weekly)

Looking long-term, Gold has experienced a high volatility and the price moved to a low at around $1139. Since August 2014 it was moving in a range between $1303 and $1158. Recently the price sharply declined and not even the support level around 1089.59 could stop the fall. The CCI is showing a slightly upward upward movement which might be a signal for a possible recovery.

XAUUSD

Support & Resistance (Weekly)













Support Levels aroundResistance Levels around
N/A1303.11
N/A1346.40
N/A1784.53


EUR/NZD (Daily)

Since December 2013 one can see the downward trend. In the mid of December 2014 there was a fall of about 800 pips to the level about 1.5056. The downward trend continues since the beginning of Februar. Nevertheless, since mid of April there is a strong upward trend. The Momentum is moving above the center line pointing out for a possible upward trend.

EURNZD

Support & Resistance (Daily)













Support Levels aroundResistance Levels around
1.5685N/A
1.4782N/A
1.4198N/A

This document is issued and approved by Varengold WPH Bank AG. The document is only intended for market counterparties and intermediate customers who are expected to make their own investment decisions without undue reliance on the information set out within the document. It may not be reproduced or further distributed, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Due to international laws/regulations not all financial instruments/services may be available to all clients. You should have informed yourself about and observe any such restrictions when considering a potential investment decision. This electronic communication and its contents are intended for the recipient only and may contain confidential, non public and/or privileged information. If you have received this electronic communication in error, please advise the sender immediately, and delete it from your system (if permitted by law). Varengold does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information herein or the appropriateness of any transaction. Nothing herein shall be construed as a recommendation or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial product. This communication is for informational purposes only. Any market or other views expressed herein are those of the sender only as of the date indicated and not of Varengold. Varengold reserves the right to consider any order sent electronically as not received unless it is confirmed verbally or through other means.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD eases to near 1.0700 ahead of German inflation data

EUR/USD eases to near 1.0700 ahead of German inflation data

EUR/USD is paring gains to near 1.0700 in the European session on Monday. The pair stays supported by a softer US Dollar, courtesy of the USD/JPY sell-off and a risk-friendly market environment. Germany's inflation data is next in focus. 

EUR/USD News

USD/JPY recovers after testing 154.50 on likely Japanese intervention

USD/JPY recovers after testing 154.50 on likely Japanese intervention

USD/JPY is recovering ground after sliding to 154.50 on what seemed like a Japanese FX intervention. The Yen tumbled in early trades amid news that Japan's PM lost 3 key seats in the by-election. Focus shifts to the US employment data and the Fed decision later this week. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price holds steady above $2,335, bulls seem reluctant amid reduced Fed rate cut bets

Gold price holds steady above $2,335, bulls seem reluctant amid reduced Fed rate cut bets

Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers near the $2,320 area and turns positive for the third successive day on Monday, albeit the intraday uptick lacks bullish conviction.

Gold News

Ripple CTO shares take on ETHgate controversy, XRP holders await SEC opposition brief filing

Ripple CTO shares take on ETHgate controversy, XRP holders await SEC opposition brief filing

Ripple loses all gains from the past seven days, trading at $0.50 early on Monday. XRP holders have their eyes peeled for the Securities and Exchange Commission filing of opposition brief to Ripple’s motion to strike expert testimony.

Read more

Week ahead: FOMC and jobs data in sight

Week ahead: FOMC and jobs data in sight

May kicks off with the Federal Open Market Committee meeting and will be one to watch, scheduled to make the airwaves on Wednesday. It’s pretty much a sealed deal for a no-change decision at this week’s meeting.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures