AUDUSD – bearish bias under daily cloud

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

AUDUSD

The Aussie dollar remains in red against the greenback on Wednesday and establishing below thick daily cloud which weighs on near-term action.
Near-term bears are re-taking full control after Tuesday’s trading ended in long-legged Doji and signaled indecision, although the pair remained below cloud base and maintained negative tone.
Fresh easing eyes pivotal support at 0.7815 (daily Tenkan-sen / 50% of 0.7732/0.7897 upleg), where Tuesday’s downside attempts were rejected. Support is also reinforced by converged 10/100SMA’s and break here would generate bearish signal for further weakness towards 0.7795 (Fibo 61.8%).
Near-term structure remains bearish while daily cloud caps, however, repeated rejection at 0.7815 support zone would signal bears are running out of steam, but sustained break above daily cloud base is needed to confirm scenario and sideline persisting downside risk.

Res: 0.7834; 0.7848; 0.7860; 0.7897
Sup: 0.7815; 0.7795; 0.7771; 0.7732

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

AUD/USD trims some losses, bounces back to 0.7150

AUD/USD has traded on the back foot on Monday, coming close to the 0.7100 mark before rebounding toward the 0.7150 region ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The Greenback’s solid performance has kept the risk complex under pressure, sending the Aussie to fresh monthly lows on the back of rising bets for a Fed rate hike this week. on Tuesday, investors are now expected to closely follow key data releases in China.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen edges lower vs USD amid Middle East jitters as Fed, BoJ meetings loom

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and climbs closer to the 154.00 mark during the Asian session, reversing a part of Friday's losses. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a range held over the past week or so and within striking distance of a nearly seven-month low, touched last Tuesday, as traders await this week's key central bank events.

Gold retests $4,300; USD losses momentum

Gold picks up fresh upside traction and challenges the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal, however, remain on the back foot on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

JasmyCoin: Upbit delisting raises risk of further losses

JasmyCoin shows signs of stability at the time of writing on Monday. However, the token remains constrained between support at $0.0035 and resistance at $0.0040. Since May, its technical structure has continued to deteriorate, with the price falling from highs of $0.0078. JASMY’s outlook suggests that bears have the upper hand as bulls fight to defend key support levels.

Will the Fed deliver the hawkishness markets are pricing in?

Fed hike bets increase after PPI and CPI reports. Updated dot plot to be crucial for the dollar’s reaction. Warsh’s independence faces test amid Trump’s pressure for lower rates. For the Dollar to extend gains, Fed needs to satisfy current hawkish bets.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight

The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.