|

AUD/USD: Longs at 7475/55 stop below 7445

AUD/USD, NZD/USD, AUD/JPY

AUDUSD longs at good support at 7475/55 worked perfectly with a low for the day here & a bounce to our target of 7490/7500. (A high for the day just 12 pips above).

Thursday’s bearish engulfing candle remains a sell signal for this week.

NZDUSD topped out on Thursday as predicted leaving a bearish engulfing candle for a sell signal. However longs at 7140/30 worked on Friday hitting 7180/90 for profit-taking. A high for the day here in fact.

AUDJPY saw a high for the rally at Thursday’s high of 8624 as predicted leaving a bearish engulfing candle for a sell signal. Our longs at 8510/8490 worked perfectly hitting the 8540/50 target for profit taking & in fact this was the high for the day before prices sold off to 8460.

Daily analysis

AUDUSD held good support at 7475/55 & it could be worth trying small longs here again targeting 7490/7500 for profit-taking. Gains are likely to be limited but a break above 7515 allows a recovery to 7530/35. Strong resistance at 7555/65 should be a big challenge. It is unlikely we will reach this far but if we do, try shorts with stops above 7580.

Longs at 7475/55 stop below 7445 (so the risk is very small). A break lower is a sell signal targeting 7410/7390, perhaps as far as 7360/50.

NZDUSD longs at first support at 7140/30 could work again targeting 7180/90 for profit-taking. Gains are likely to be limited now. If we retest 7200/7220, try shorts with stops above 7240. BUT be ready to sell again at very strong resistance at 7255/75. Stop above 7300.

Longs at first support at 7140/30 must stops below 7120 so the risk is very small. A break lower is a sell signal targeting 7090/80 probably as far as 7040/30.

AUDJPY expected to test first support at 8460/40. This may hold on the first test only for a bounce to 8500 but gains are likely to be limited after the sell signal. Unlikely but further gains meet a selling opportunity at 8540/50. Stop above 8570. I would sell again at 8620/40 with stops above 8660.

A break below 8420 is the next sell signal targeting 8370 & 8345/35.

Chart

AUDUSD
AUDJPY

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

More from Jason Sen
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.