|

AUD/USD Forecast: Nearing an over one-decade low at 0.6661

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.6673

  • Australian data failed to impress with wages’ growth stagnated at 2.2% YoY.
  • Market players now waiting for Australian employment figures.
  • AUD/USD bearish stance persists, could approach 0.6600 on a dismal employment report.

The AUD/USD pair has lost ground for a fifth consecutive day, trading a handful of pips above 0.6661, the multi-year low set this month. Data coming from Australia at the beginning of the day failed to impress as the Westpac Leading Index came in at 0.05% in January, slightly better than the previous 0.01%. The six months annualised growth rate fell from -0.28% in December to -0.46% in January. Also, wages growth in the last quarter of 2019 remained stagnated, up by 0.5% in the quarter and by 2.2% yearly basis.

During the upcoming Asian session, Australia will release its latest employment figures. The country is expected to have added 10,000 new jobs in January, after adding 28,900 in the previous month. However, all of these positions were part-time, as the country lost 300 full-time positions. The unemployment rate is seen ticking to 5.2% from 5.1% while the participation rate is seen steady at 66%. Unimpressive numbers will likely see the pair piercing the mentioned multi-year low.

AUD/USD short-term technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair is technically bearish in the short-term, as the 4-hour chart shows that a firmly bearish 20 SMA keeps heading south above the current level, providing dynamic resistance. The 100 and 200 SMA stands above the 0.6800 level with modest bearish slopes, while technical indicators consolidate in negative levels, as the pair holds within its weekly range.

Support levels: 0.6660 0.6630 0.6595

Resistance levels: 0.6730 0.6770 0.6805  

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold jumps above $5,000 as China's gold buying drives demand

Gold price rises to near $5,035 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends its recovery amid a weaker US Dollar and rising demand from central banks. The delayed release of the US employment report for January will be in the spotlight later on Wednesday.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.