|

AUD/USD analysis: nearing October high, Chinese data eyed

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7890

  • The imbalance between macro data underpinned Aussie's rally.
  • Chinese trade figures to make it or break if to AUD/USD.

The AUD/USD pair reached its highest since last October, stalling his advance a few pips below the multi-month high set back then at 0.7896. The imbalance between macroeconomic data from both economies lifted the pair, as Australian retail sales surged 1.2% according to November's official release, the fastest pace in five years, amid Black Friday sales, while US employment and inflation data out this Thursday came in well below expected. The Aussie will face a major challenge during the upcoming hours, as the country will release its December trade and money figures. Stronger-than-expected imports will underpin the Australian currency, which could then retake the 0.7900 figure en route to 0.8000. The short-term technical picture is bullish, as the pair holds above a modestly bullish 20 SMA, while technical indicators have advanced to fresh one-week highs, maintaining their bullish slopes. The immediate resistance is the mentioned October high of 0.7896, with large spots suspected above it that once triggered will only fuel the dominant bullish trend.

Support levels: 0.7830 0.7800 0.7770

Resistance levels: 0.7895 0.7920 0.7945

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.