|

Americans may soon regret trusting the Fed and holding cash

Over the longer term, gold and silver aren’t the only assets which have been trading in a range. Stocks have also been struggling to establish a trend either higher or lower over the past 3 years.

Demand for publicly traded stocks and demand for physical bullion aren’t always correlated, but stock investors and metal investors do have something in common. Both groups are grappling with uncertainty, and that means some people are on the sidelines.

The Wall Street Journal reports investors sitting on record amounts of cash.

They are a bit worried and don’t know what else to do.

There isn’t consensus in the financial press. One story suggests investors punch the accelerator while the next urges them to pump the brakes.

Meanwhile, ordinary Americans who increasingly say they disapprove of “Bidenomics” don’t seem to be buying the government statistics the media is reporting.

Surprisingly strong GDP, ultra-low official unemployment and federal CPI reporting which shows price inflation coming down are all examples of data which doesn’t match Americans' lived experience.

Many of the people making the bullish case for owning stocks don’t seem to be buying the official statistics either. They aren’t suggesting the U.S. economy is great. Instead, their argument hinges, in large part, on the thesis that as the economy hits the skids, the Fed’s response will be to cut interest rates.

Mainstream America may regret placing so much confidence in the central planners at the Fed. There is far more to a healthy economy than interest rates, but these days little else seems to matter.

The record amount of cash on the sidelines isn’t entirely attributable to uncertainty. People have been incentivized by higher interest rates available in money market funds.

However, Americans might be well served to contemplate how safe this cash really is. Money market funds aren’t going to keep pace with inflation over the long run. Nor are they immune from credit risk, which could manifest at any time.

Bullion investors would like to see some of this capital pour into the gold and silver markets. They are looking for a catalyst which pushes people away from conventional assets and toward alternatives.


To receive free commentary and analysis on the gold and silver markets, click here to be added to the Money Metals news service.

Author

Clint Siegner

Clint Siegner

Money Metals Exchange

Clint Siegner is a Director at Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 "Dealer of the Year" in the United States by an independent global ratings group.

More from Clint Siegner
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to build on recent rebound, holds above 1.1550

EUR/USD trades marginally lower on the day but holds above 1.1550 in the American session, following Thursday's rebound. The pair holds near its intraday high as the US Dollar remains pressured by hopes the Middle East conflict will soon come to an end.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 as investors await war clarity

GBP/USD remains near its daily open, not far from 1.3400, in the second half of Friday's session. The US Dollar lost its previous intraday strength and weakens as investors await clarity on the US-Iran war.

Gold stabilizes above $4,200 as wait-and-see continues

After rising more than 3% on Thursday, Gold (XAU/USD) stabilized around the $4,200 mark in the American session on Friday. The US dollar seesaws between gains and losses, but remains within familiar levels as investors remain skeptical yet hopeful about a resolution to the Middle East conflict.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery slows amid incessant capital outflows

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels.

SpaceX launches 24% higher at Friday debut
Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX), aka SpaceX, zoomed 24% higher soon after the start of its first IPO trading day on Friday. Shares of the rocket and artificial intelligence (AI) company founded by Elon Musk began trading at about 11:46 am EST and quickly gained speed.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.