• The new year has kicked off with plenty of uncertainty and risk-off dominating market sentiment.
  • Read our 20 most important market topics to follow in 2020.

A new year always comes with new challenges. Even if we dismiss the popular but regularly unsuccessful new year resolutions, in financial markets the change of year is relevant, as books and balances get closed and blank new ones get opened. Whether your trading has been profitable or not, chances are you are starting 2020 pumped for what's to come. And you might believe this is the start of a new decade or not, but still, acknowledge that the new year brings some change winds you have to prepare for. Anticipating that, as 2020 starts, we have prepared 20 articles on 20 trading topics to follow during the year.

2020 is expected to be a turning point year, according to Andrew Pancholi, founder and CEO at Market Timing Report, and his cycle-analysis research. Following different reasoning, our webinar speaker and analyst Steve Ruffley also writes about 2020 to be the year that will make or break the global economy. In fact, it hasn't taken too long for things to get swinging, as Iranian top official's Qasem Soleimani's killing by the US kick-started the action with a shock. In barely a week, oil and gold prices have already rallied to multi-month (multi-year in case of the yellow metal) highs and retraced. Our senior editor and analyst Dhwani Mehta expects gold to keep its status as one of the main safe-haven assets in the market. 

Risk aversion sentiment already dominated last year and might be here to stay. Recession fears are still there, as popular analyst Mike "Mish" Shedlock notes, following some housing market indicators. A trigger for a recession could come from any of the five bubbles our senior analyst Yohay Elam sees as potential ticking bombs. That would disrupt the employment figures in the world's main economies, currently at – or close to – their peaks, which could have diverse effects on each currency, Elam notes.

Even if doomsday is avoided in 2020, still expect plenty of uncertainty to dominate markets' sentiment. The US-China phase-one trade deal is expected to be signed by January 15th, but trade disputes between the two biggest economies in the world might just be the new normal, according to our senior analyst Joseph Trevisani. The continuation of the trade war and a de-globalisation is also one of the five main market trends that Kathleen Brooks, founder of Minerva Markets, expects for this year.

Of course, this could all change by November if Donald Trump fails to get reelected in the US presidential elections. The race to the White House will have the potential to shake the US dollar and stock markets, particularly after the summer democrat and republican conventions. Our senior editor and analyst Ross J Burland expects the Fed to likely put interest rates on hold and play the wait-and-see game while the US political landscape gets sorted out. Still, even if the Fed stresses its political independence, that won't probably stop the US President to continue targeting the central bank's officials in his tweeting: our chief analyst Valeria Bednarik has a guide on how to trade Trump's tweets during this election year.

Donald Trump's Twitter game is also strong on stock market landmarks celebrations, but that could vanish if the US stocks finally hit the peak of their current endless bullish cycle. Our technical analyst Tomàs Sallés thinks that could be coming this summer.

Back in Europe, 2020 is the year where Brexit should finally happen. After all the trials and tribulations, the UK is expected to officially leave the European Union on the 31st of January and our senior analyst Joseph Trevisani forecasts a big year for the pound, as he expects the UK to land a good trade deal with the EU. Trevisani expects the EU to soften their negotiating stand as they prioritize avoiding a recession. There's a more optimistic version of the European economic outlook, Yohay Elam notes, and that involves Germany finally realizing they need to spend more and abandon austerity, which could drive the EUR/USD higher.

A supporter of such fiscal expansive policy would certainly be Christine Lagarde, the ECB's new boss, who has already asked governments to do more as the central bank runs out of ammo to stimulate the lackluster European growth. Lagarde could either act like an owl, a hawk or a dove during the year, which will certainly drive EUR trading. His goal might be to prevent the eurozone from becoming the new Japan, where multiple decades of interest rates at close-to-zero levels have meant the death of monetary policy and economic stagnation. 

Global uncertainty and risk aversion will not be ignored in the cryptocurrency sphere, where Bitcoin has already started the year pumped by the risk-off trade. The most important event for BTC bulls, though, will be the reward halving expected to come in May. As our crypto analyst Tanya Abrosimova reports, Bitcoin saw big surges following the two previous halvings some years ago, but this time it could be different as the market is more mature. 

The relationship between Bitcoin and Ethereum will rule the nature of the crypto market in 2020 and our crypto news editor Rajarshi Mitra has a guide on how to use the ETH/BTC pair to increase your crypto portfolio. Ethereum is also expected to have a big year, as ETH futures are expected to be approved, but our crypto editor Rajan Dhall doesn't expect that to be a bullish event. According to Ken Chigbo, the value might be elsewhere, with a couple of under-the-radar cryptocurrencies that could have big years if they are able to break out of their current bearish trend channels.

 

Here you have the full list of articles:

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Analysis feed

FXStreet Trading Signals now available!

Access to real-time signals, community and guidance now!

Latest Analysis


Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD falls below 1.1850 as US consumer sentiment beats

EUR/USD is trading under1.1850, off the previous levels as US consumer sentiment beat estimates with 78.9 points. The Fed refrained from adding more stimulus, supporting the dollar earlier in the week. Investors are eyeing fiscal stimulus talks.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD falls as the EU reportedly objects Johnson's bill

GBP/USD is trading around 1.2950, off the highs. According to reports, the EU remains opposed to UK PM Johnson's controversial bill, which violates the Brexit accord. 

GBP/USD News

XAU/USD struggles to move back above 100-hour SMA

Gold regained some positive traction on the last trading day of the week and recovered a part of the previous day's losses to over one-week lows. The commodity held on to its intraday gains and traded above the $1950 level through the mid-European session.

Gold News

Ethereum hits Bitcoin's bid to lead the market

Bitcoin risks dominance after the strong rise of Ethereum. Technical indicators show some significant discrepancies keeping the stress on the board. Sentiment levels are improving and bordering on optimism.

Read more

After yesterday's JMMC meeting WTI settles near $40 per barrel

WTI has been through a rollercoaster this week. The liquid gold has been in a downtrend leading into the OPEC+ JMMC meeting and then reversed the whole move. At the meeting the group agreed to extend the compensation period for overproduction till the end of December. 

Oil News

Forex Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures