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World Cup Trade: EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout

In-Depth Analysis

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.

The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Cryptocurrencies

Ripple risks deeper decline toward $1.00

XRP clings to short-term support at $1.10, but persistent selling pressure leaves it vulnerable to a further 10% drop toward $1.00. XRP remains largely defined by a bearish technical structure, with major moving averages and momentum indicators edging lower.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide as capital outflows persist

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing broad-based declines on Tuesday, as Bitcoin retests support at $62,000, Ethereum extends losses toward $1,600, and Ripple remains anchored near the key $1.10 demand zone.

Bitcoin struggles amid renewed US-Iran peace uncertainty 

Bitcoin (BTC) trades below $63,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday as conflicting signals from the US and Iran regarding the progress of peace negotiations continue to fuel geopolitical uncertainty.

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Stocks

SpaceX slumps 10% in largest sell-off to date
SpaceX (SPCX) stock slumps 10% on Monday, its third straight down session after starting off its public career with three straight green sessions. After reaching an all-time high of $225.64 last Tuesday, SPCX reached an intraday low at $165.00 on Monday.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: Winds of change blowing into the Federal Reserve
The EUR/USD pair fell towards 1.1417, its lowest since last March, as the US Dollar (USD) soared following the first Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh. EUR/USD got to recover some ground on Friday, finishing the week, however, well below the 1.1500 mark.
GBP/USD battles 1.3200 as UK PM Starmer set to resign

GBP/USD is facing moderate selling pressure in Asian trading at the start of the week on Monday, as the British Pound stays vulnerable amid the UK political chaos. UK PM Keir Starmer is expected to announce an exit plan on Monday, paving the way for Andy Burnham to become PM.

Bitcoin: Recovery hopes fade after the Fed spoils the party
Bitcoin (BTC) is set to end the week in the red, trading near the 200-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA) at around $62,300 on Friday. Institutional selling persists, capping BTC’s recovery as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) point to a sixth consecutive week of outflows.
US Dollar: The last mile just got longer
A very auspicious week saw the US Dollar (USD) trade with robust gains, rapidly leaving behind the prior pullback and sending the US Dollar Index (DXY) to levels last traded in mid-May 2025, past the 101.00 barrier on Friday.