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The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.
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In-Depth Analysis
The global and European economies have been resilient in recent years even accounting for the modest global slowdown of 2025. But risks for the recovery are rising, underscoring a negative medium-run global macro and credit outlook.
The latest data in China has changed little to the overall picture of a two-speed economy with domestic demand looking weak while exports and tech continue to power ahead.
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Cryptocurrencies
Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.
Aster trades under intense selling pressure, recording 3% loss at press time on Thursday. The perpetual-focused exchange resumed its Stage 4 buyback program on Wednesday and currently holds almost 52 million ASTER tokens.
Bitcoin eyes short-term breakout above $87,000, underpinned by a significant increase in ETF inflows. Ethereum defends support around $2,800 as mild ETF outflows suppress its recovery. XRP holds above at $1.82 amid bearish technical signals and persistent inflows into ETFs.
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Stocks
BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, ran an online survey in early December asking respondents whether attractive returns for risk assets would continue for a fourth straight year in 2026. Respondents overwhelmingly signaled in the affirmative, choosing the most bullish option available by just under 59%.
Weekly Forecast
The EUR/USD pair surged to a fresh monthly high of 1.1762 in the second week of December, closing it with gains a handful of pips below the level. The advance was solely related to the US Dollar weakness, which was triggered by poor American data and the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision.
The Pound Sterling notched up a third straight week of gains, finally breaking through the 1.3400 mark. It’s been a steady climb, and one that says more about the other side of the pair than anything happening at home.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.
The Greenback retreated for the third consecutive week and remains well on track to end its second straight month of losses.
