|

WTI trims a part of intraday losses, still down over 1.5% for the day

  • Concerns about the ever-surging COVID-19 cases weighed heavily on crude oil.
  • Wednesday’s bullish IEA forecast, US supply data did little to lend any support.

WTI crude oil reversed an early North American session dip to sub-$64.00 levels and was last seen trading around the $64.60-70 region, still down nearly 1.5% for the day.

The commodity witnessed some heavy selling on Thursday and extended the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of eight-week tops, around the $66.60-70 region touched earlier this month. The continuous surge in new COVID-19 cases in India continued fueling worries about the fuel demand recovery. This, in turn, overshadowed the optimism led by the International Energy Agency (IEA) report on Wednesday and acted as a headwind for the black gold.

In its monthly report released on Wednesday, the IEA noted that the demand for crude is outpacing supply and that the discrepancy will grow further. This comes after the OPEC report earlier this week pointed to strong fuel demand recovery in 2021 amid the solid economic recovery in the US and China. Traders even shrugged off Wednesday's bullish supply data from the US EIA, which showed a much smaller than anticipated draw of 427K barrels for the week ending May 7.

With Thursday's decline, the commodity has now turned lower for the week. Some follow-through selling below the $64.00 mark, leading to a subsequent breakthrough the weekly swing lows around the $63.70 region will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. This, in turn, will set the stage for additional losses and drag spot prices further towards testing levels below the $63.00/barrel mark.

Technical levels to watch

WTI

Overview
Today last price64.55
Today Daily Change-1.18
Today Daily Change %-1.80
Today daily open65.73
 
Trends
Daily SMA2063.77
Daily SMA5062.57
Daily SMA10058.56
Daily SMA20050.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High66.63
Previous Daily Low64.97
Previous Weekly High66.7
Previous Weekly Low62.88
Previous Monthly High65.4
Previous Monthly Low57.66
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%65.61
Daily Pivot Point S164.93
Daily Pivot Point S264.13
Daily Pivot Point S363.28
Daily Pivot Point R166.58
Daily Pivot Point R267.43
Daily Pivot Point R368.23

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines near 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains flat after two down days, trading around 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold awaits weekly trading range breakout ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher back closer to the $4,350 level and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar uptick, though it is likely to remain cushioned on the back of a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Dogecoin breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.