|

WTI struggles for direction, holds steady below $65

  • WTI struggled to capitalize on the previous session's goodish rebound from multi-day lows.
  • Suspension of the COVID-19 vaccine in Europe raised doubts about fuel demand recovery.
  • Investors also preferred to wait on the sidelines ahead of the latest FOCM policy decision.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude struggled to capitalize on the previous day's goodish bounce from four-day lows and witnessed a subdued/range-bounce price action during the Asian session. The commodity was last seen hovering around the $64.80-75 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

The black gold showed some resilience below the $64.00 mark on Tuesday and attracted some dip-buying in reaction to a bullish report by the American Petroleum Institute (API). According to API, US oil inventories unexpectedly fell by 1 million barrels last week as against consensus estimates pointing to a 2.715 million barrel build in stocks.

The supporting factor, however, was offset by concerns that stalled vaccine rollouts in Europe is slowing recovery in the fuel demand. In fact, Spain, Germany, France and Italy became the latest European countries to temporarily suspend the Oxford/AstraZeneca coronavirus vaccine amid reports of possible serious side effects.

Apart from this, the underlying bullish sentiment surrounding the US dollar was seen as another factor holding traders from placing bullish bets around dollar-denominated commodities, including oil. The greenback remained well supported by the upbeat US economic outlook, bolstered by the passage of a massive US stimulus package.

Meanwhile, investors also seemed reluctant to place any aggressive bets, rather preferred to wait on the sidelines ahead of Wednesday's key event risk – the FOMC monetary policy decision. The Fed is widely expected to leave monetary policy setting unchanged and hence, the focus will be on the central bank's response to the recent surge in bond yields.

Technical levels to watch

WTI

Overview
Today last price64.8
Today Daily Change-0.21
Today Daily Change %-0.32
Today daily open65.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA2062.91
Daily SMA5057.82
Daily SMA10051.08
Daily SMA20045.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High65.47
Previous Daily Low63.87
Previous Weekly High67.87
Previous Weekly Low63.11
Previous Monthly High63.72
Previous Monthly Low51.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%64.48
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%64.86
Daily Pivot Point S164.1
Daily Pivot Point S263.18
Daily Pivot Point S362.5
Daily Pivot Point R165.7
Daily Pivot Point R266.38
Daily Pivot Point R367.29

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed 0.7000, awaits FOMC Minutes

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on its recent recovery move and trades with a negative bias below 0.7000 in Wednesday's Asian session. Amid geopolitical uncertainty, the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers after a fresh leg up in US bond yields, keeping the pair under pressure despite hawkish RBA expectations. All eyes now remain on the FOMC Minutes.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold struggles below $4,150 as USD bulls look to FOMC Minutes for rate hike cues

Gold retains its intraday bearish bias through the early European session, eyeing a two-month low around the $4,100 neighborhood touched the previous day. The US Dollar catches fresh bids after Tuesday's corrective slide and is seen as a key factor weighing on the commodity as traders look to the FOMC meeting minutes for a fresh impetus.

Dogecoin extended correction and weakening momentum raise downside risks

Dogecoin extends its losses, trading around $0.090 down more than 5% so far this week. Bearish pressure is strengthening, with short positions reaching a one-month high and traders in overheated conditions. Meanwhile, weakening momentum indicators are also hinting at further losses in DOGE. Derivatives data shows cautious signals among traders.

Indian Rupee hits fresh four-month low, RBI hikes Repo Rate to 5.5%

The Indian Rupee weakens significantly against the US Dollar after a muted response, following the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. The USD/INR pair jumps to near 96.72, the highest level seen in four months. In the policy meeting, the RBI decide to hike its Repo Rate by 25 basis points to 5.5%, the first hike since February 2023.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.