• China to lock down Shanghai in two stages as covid rates surge.
  • WTI spot sinks some 2.65% in the open. 

Oil prices lifted in a volatile session on Friday but the bulls have met their match at the start of the week and the price dropped sharply in the open. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spot is down some 2.65% at the time of writing after falling from $109.59 and hitting a low of $109.59 so far. 

News that Shanghai's city government said all firms and factories would suspend manufacturing in a two-stage lockdown over nine days after the city reported a new daily record for asymptomatic COVID-19 infections, has weighed on the demand side outlook in the oil market. Additionally, public transport, including ride-hailing services, will also be suspended during the lockdown. ''Chinese oil demand has notably and sharply declined as highlighted by road traffic in China collapsing by nearly 10% on the month, amid Omicron's explosive spread,'' analysts at TD Securities said. JP Morgan last week lowered its expectations for second-quarter oil demand in China by 520,000 barrels per day to 15.8 million bpd.

Meanwhile, crude oil prices surged the prior week as the war in Ukraine continues to roil the market. However, last week also saw additional supply disruptions impact the market. Loadings from the Caspian Pipeline Consortium sea terminal were disrupted after storms damaged its facilities. Initial expectations were that exports could be cut by 1mb/d.

Analysts ANZ Bank explained that on Friday, ''an oil storage facility in Saudi Arabia was hit by a barrage of drone attacks by Yemen’s Houthi rebels. The damage to Aramco facilities is said to have caused some short-term operational disruptions. This follows Saudi Arabia’s warning that crude oil supplies were at risk, and it may struggle to boost output. OPEC are scheduled to meet this Thursday to discuss the market outlook and whether they should boost output further.''

On US soil, Reuters reports that ''the Biden administration is considering another release of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve that could be bigger than the sale of 30 million barrels earlier this month, a source said. In total, the US and other members of the International Energy Agency (IEA) released about 60 million barrels from reserves.''

"They definitely have the capacity to do significantly more – they (IEA members) have about 1.5 billion barrels of SPR inventories. By all means, this was the whole idea of an SPR, to provide relief in emergency times,"  Natasha Kaneva, head of commodities research at JP Morgan said. 

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 108.52
Today Daily Change -3.27
Today Daily Change % -2.93
Today daily open 111.79
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 106.79
Daily SMA50 95.84
Daily SMA100 85.44
Daily SMA200 79.34
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 113.25
Previous Daily Low 107.82
Previous Weekly High 115.87
Previous Weekly Low 102.52
Previous Monthly High 100
Previous Monthly Low 85.74
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 111.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 109.9
Daily Pivot Point S1 108.66
Daily Pivot Point S2 105.52
Daily Pivot Point S3 103.23
Daily Pivot Point R1 114.09
Daily Pivot Point R2 116.38
Daily Pivot Point R3 119.52

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures