WTI sets for bullish weekly close on multiple tailwinds


  • WTI is stuck in a tight range but is poised to close the week on a bullish note.
  • Supply concerns and an improved demand outlook have boosted Oil’s appeal.
  • US Biden criticized Ukraine for targeting Russia’s oil infrastructure.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, consolidate in a tight range around $86.80 in the European session on Friday. The Oil prices are set to conclude the week in a bullish time for the second straight time. The black gold sees a strong bull run in two weeks due to deepening supply concerns and expectations of a sharp revival in the global oil demand.

Escalating tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East have reinforced fears of oil supply risks. This week, Ukraine’s drone attacks on Russian oil refineries prompted upside risks to lower oil production, resulting in a fresh escalation in geopolitical tensions. US President Joe Biden criticized the event of Ukraine targeting Russia’s oil infrastructure as it could have drastic consequences for global oil prices.

In the Middle East region, air strikes by Israeli forces on the Iranian embassy in Damascus, resulting in the deaths of Iran's high-rank commanders, have deepened fears of Iran’s direct participation in the war in Gaza. Geopolitical tensions disrupt the supply chain, which increases the prices of various raw materials.

Meanwhile, a sharp recovery in the Manufacturing PMI in the Eurozone, the United Kingdom, and the United States has strengthened the outlook for oil demand. In the UK and the US, the Manufacturing PMI surprisingly returned to growth after contracting for more than a year. In the Eurozone, the Manufacturing PMI outperformed expectations but remains below the 50.0 threshold, which separates contraction from expansion. The oil prices have a direct relationship with the outlook of the manufacturing sector.

Going forward, investors will focus on the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for March, which will be published at 12:30 GMT. The labor market data will influence market expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) pivoting to rate cuts, which are currently expected in the June meeting.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 86.23
Today Daily Change -0.16
Today Daily Change % -0.19
Today daily open 86.39
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 81.34
Daily SMA50 78.64
Daily SMA100 76.02
Daily SMA200 78.95
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 86.74
Previous Daily Low 84.23
Previous Weekly High 82.9
Previous Weekly Low 80.35
Previous Monthly High 83.05
Previous Monthly Low 76.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 85.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 85.19
Daily Pivot Point S1 84.84
Daily Pivot Point S2 83.28
Daily Pivot Point S3 82.33
Daily Pivot Point R1 87.34
Daily Pivot Point R2 88.3
Daily Pivot Point R3 89.85

 

 

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