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WTI remains sideways around $84.00, downside seems favored on hawkish Fed bets

  • Oil prices oscillate around $84.00 as the focus shifts to the Fed monetary policy meeting.
  • Rate hikes by G-7 central banks will cut the growth forecasts.
  • OPEC+ production targets have been trimmed by 3.58 million barrels per day.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, are displaying a lackluster performance in the early European session. The oil prices are witnessing back-and-forth moves in a narrow range of $82.90-83.40 as investors are looking to create positions after the announcement of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The positions on oil prices would be more decisive post the Fed monetary policy meeting.

The black gold is facing severe pressure this week as central banks from the G-7 group are preparing for a fresh rate hike cycle. The central banks are forced to tighten their policies further as price pressures have not responded well to the pace adopted by them. No doubt, the rate hike announcements will also stem a gloomy outlook for the growth rate. The concept of squeezing liquidity from the market has forced the corporate to postpone their expansion plans and invest majorly in ultra-filtered investment opportunities only.

The mighty US dollar index (DXY) is aiming higher as the Fed will step up its interest rates at least by 75 basis points (bps). This will bring a sheer decline in liquidity as private players will dodge fetching money at 3-3.25% interest rates. It will trim the prospects for growth rates and eventually a decline in the oil demand vigorously.

Meanwhile, a decline in oil supplies by OPEC+ seems unable to provide a cushion on the downside. The OPEC+ production targets are shortened by 3.58 million barrels per day, which carries 3.5% of global demand. However, investors are focusing entirely on demand catalysts.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price84.06
Today Daily Change-0.12
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open84.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA2087.93
Daily SMA5090.92
Daily SMA100100.06
Daily SMA20096.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High86.03
Previous Daily Low82.93
Previous Weekly High89.65
Previous Weekly Low83.83
Previous Monthly High97.68
Previous Monthly Low85.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%84.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%84.85
Daily Pivot Point S182.74
Daily Pivot Point S281.29
Daily Pivot Point S379.64
Daily Pivot Point R185.83
Daily Pivot Point R287.48
Daily Pivot Point R388.92

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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