|

WTI remains sideways around $84.00, downside seems favored on hawkish Fed bets

  • Oil prices oscillate around $84.00 as the focus shifts to the Fed monetary policy meeting.
  • Rate hikes by G-7 central banks will cut the growth forecasts.
  • OPEC+ production targets have been trimmed by 3.58 million barrels per day.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, are displaying a lackluster performance in the early European session. The oil prices are witnessing back-and-forth moves in a narrow range of $82.90-83.40 as investors are looking to create positions after the announcement of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The positions on oil prices would be more decisive post the Fed monetary policy meeting.

The black gold is facing severe pressure this week as central banks from the G-7 group are preparing for a fresh rate hike cycle. The central banks are forced to tighten their policies further as price pressures have not responded well to the pace adopted by them. No doubt, the rate hike announcements will also stem a gloomy outlook for the growth rate. The concept of squeezing liquidity from the market has forced the corporate to postpone their expansion plans and invest majorly in ultra-filtered investment opportunities only.

The mighty US dollar index (DXY) is aiming higher as the Fed will step up its interest rates at least by 75 basis points (bps). This will bring a sheer decline in liquidity as private players will dodge fetching money at 3-3.25% interest rates. It will trim the prospects for growth rates and eventually a decline in the oil demand vigorously.

Meanwhile, a decline in oil supplies by OPEC+ seems unable to provide a cushion on the downside. The OPEC+ production targets are shortened by 3.58 million barrels per day, which carries 3.5% of global demand. However, investors are focusing entirely on demand catalysts.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price84.06
Today Daily Change-0.12
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open84.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA2087.93
Daily SMA5090.92
Daily SMA100100.06
Daily SMA20096.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High86.03
Previous Daily Low82.93
Previous Weekly High89.65
Previous Weekly Low83.83
Previous Monthly High97.68
Previous Monthly Low85.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%84.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%84.85
Daily Pivot Point S182.74
Daily Pivot Point S281.29
Daily Pivot Point S379.64
Daily Pivot Point R185.83
Daily Pivot Point R287.48
Daily Pivot Point R388.92

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD breaks below 1.1800, two-week lows

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, breaching below the key 1.1800 yardstick to hit new two-week troughs on Wednesday. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and ahead of the publication of the FOMC Minutes.

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.