|

WTI Price Analysis: Wobbles near $46.00, prints bullish pennant on hourly chart

  • WTI prints mild gains while staying around the early March high.
  • The immediate megaphone resistance adds to the upside filters.
  • Bearish MACD challenges the bulls but sellers await a break of weekly support line.

WTI crosses $46.00, up 0.45% intraday, during the pre-European session on Thursday. The energy benchmark forms a bullish pennant on the hourly (1H) chart while taking rounds to the highest level since March 05, flashed the previous day.

Although the bullish chart pattern is likely to keep the oil buyers hopeful, on the break of $46.10, the upper line of a short-term megaphone pattern, at $46.70 now, seems to challenge the quote’s further upside amid bearish MACD.

It should, however, be noted that the commodity’s rise past-$46.70 will eye the March month’s peak near $48.75.

Meanwhile, the support line of pennant and megaphone, respectively around $45.90 and $45.50, can entertain the intraday sellers. Though, a clear downside below the weekly support line, at $45.10, will be necessary to rule out the black gold’s short-term upside.

Following that, the early Tuesday's high near $43.80 should lure the oil bears.

WTI hourly chart

Trend: Bullish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price46.02
Today Daily Change0.20
Today Daily Change %0.44%
Today daily open45.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA2040.58
Daily SMA5040.26
Daily SMA10040.74
Daily SMA20036.9
 
Levels
Previous Daily High46.31
Previous Daily Low44.71
Previous Weekly High42.68
Previous Weekly Low40.36
Previous Monthly High41.93
Previous Monthly Low35.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%45.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%45.32
Daily Pivot Point S144.92
Daily Pivot Point S244.01
Daily Pivot Point S343.31
Daily Pivot Point R146.52
Daily Pivot Point R247.22
Daily Pivot Point R348.12

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD struggles below 0.7100, lowest since August 4 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD remains depressed below 0.7100 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US bond yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on a Fed rate hike in October. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the currency pair as traders now look to the RBA policy meeting on Tuesday.

USD/JPY climbs back to 157.75 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers at the start of a new week, reversing part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's relative dovish-leaning tone caps the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further support the pair.

Gold hangs near monthly low, around $4,250 as Fed hike bets and Iran risks underpin USD

Gold attracts fresh sellers at the start of a new week, sliding back closer to $4,250 and the lower boundary of the monthly range amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. Firming October Fed rate-hike bets, along with oil-driven inflation risks, keep US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs, helping the US Dollar regain positive traction and undermining the non-yielding bullion. Bears, however, await weakness below $4,235 before placing fresh bets.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
After the Trump Xi summit, markets are trading three clocks
The summit delivered time, not a deal. Trade, oil and chips now each run to a date, and the macro backdrop matters more than the pageantry. Markets wanted a deal and got a calendar date instead. Xi Jinping left Washington on Friday after tea at the White House and a tour of the National Archives.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.