WTI Price Analysis: Oil fades downside momentum near $79.00 as markets stabilize after risk aversion


  • WTI crude oil seesaws at the lowest level in a fortnight, prods three-day losing streak but lacks downside momentum.
  • Multiple downside supports, oversold RSI (14) line test Oil sellers.
  • WTI recovery remains elusive below $81.20; further downside appears limited unless breaking $77.20.
  • US Dollar’s pause after refreshing multi-day high allows Oil price to consolidate weekly losses.

WTI crude oil licks its wounds at the lowest level in two weeks, defensive around $78.90 heading into Thursday’s European session.

In doing so, the black gold prints the first daily gains in four while portraying a corrective bounce off a three-week-long horizontal support zone amid the oversold RSI (14) line.

With this, the energy benchmark braces for a further recovery toward the previous weekly low of around $79.65–70. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and a downward-sloping trend line from August 10, close to $81.20, appears a tough nut to crack for the Oil buyers to crack.

In a case where the WTI bulls manage to keep the reins past $77.20, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the monthly peak surrounding $84.35 can’t be ruled out.

On the flip side, a clear break of a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since late July, around $78.20-55, restricts the immediate downside of the WTI crude oil price.

Following that, the 200-SMA level of $78.00 and a horizontal line comprising tops marked during July 13 and 21, close to $77.20, will act as the last defense of the Oil buyers.

WTI crude oil: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 78.87
Today Daily Change -0.03
Today Daily Change % -0.04%
Today daily open 78.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 80.55
Daily SMA50 75.23
Daily SMA100 75.01
Daily SMA200 76.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 80.98
Previous Daily Low 78.7
Previous Weekly High 84.32
Previous Weekly Low 79.66
Previous Monthly High 81.78
Previous Monthly Low 69.77
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 79.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 80.11
Daily Pivot Point S1 78.08
Daily Pivot Point S2 77.25
Daily Pivot Point S3 75.79
Daily Pivot Point R1 80.36
Daily Pivot Point R2 81.81
Daily Pivot Point R3 82.64

 

 

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