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WTI Price Analysis: Oil bulls take a breather below $74.60 resistance confluence

  • WTI crude oil remains sidelined inside a short-term bullish channel after reversing from the highest levels in a fortnight.
  • Five-week-old horizontal hurdle guards immediate upside, convergence of 200-SMA, channel’s top line is the key hurdle.
  • 100-SMA lures intraday sellers of Oil but further downside needs validation from $69.45.

WTI crude oil seesaws around $73.00 during Thursday’s sluggish Asian session, following its pullback from a 12-day high. In doing so, the black gold remains with the fortnight-old ascending trend channel while retreating from the channel’s top line and a five-week-long horizontal hurdle of late.

It should be noted that the energy benchmark’s latest pullback takes clues from the impending bear cross on the MACD and a retreat in the RSI (14) line after it touched the overbought territory.

With this, the commodity price is likely to decline further towards the immediate support of 100-SMA, around $71.70 by the press time.

In a case where the quote remains bearish past $71.70, the $70.00 and bottom line of the stated channel, close to $69.45, become crucial to watch as they hold the gate for the Oil bear’s entry.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned five-week-old horizontal resistance near $73.90-74.00 restricts the immediate upside of the WTI crude oil.

Following that, a convergence of the stated channel’s top line and the 200-SMA together highlights $74.60 as a tough nut to crack for Oil buyers.

Should the commodity price rally beyond $74.60, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward $77.50 and then to the $78.00 hurdles can’t be ruled out. Though, multiple hurdles marked since February 13 highlight the $80.80-81.00 as crucial resistance to watch afterward.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price72.93
Today Daily Change-0.69
Today Daily Change %-0.94%
Today daily open73.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA2073.26
Daily SMA5076.15
Daily SMA10077.3
Daily SMA20084.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High73.97
Previous Daily Low72.26
Previous Weekly High71.69
Previous Weekly Low64.39
Previous Monthly High80.75
Previous Monthly Low72.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%73.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%72.91
Daily Pivot Point S172.6
Daily Pivot Point S271.57
Daily Pivot Point S370.89
Daily Pivot Point R174.31
Daily Pivot Point R274.99
Daily Pivot Point R376.02

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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