|

WTI Price Analysis: Keeps trading below weekly rising trend line, 50-HMA

  • WTI fades bounces off three-day-old support line, stays above $45.00.
  • Normal RSI conditions suggest further recovery, 50% of Fibonacci retracement lures bears below trend line support.

Having initially extended the previous day’s recovery mover from $44.79, WTI eases to $45.10 during early Friday. In doing so, the energy benchmark keeps the downside break of 50-HMA and an ascending trend line from November 20.

However, an immediate support line from Tuesday restricts the quote’s short-term declines, around $44.83, before the previous day’s low near $44.79.

While RSI conditions suggest further consolidation of losses towards 50-HMA and previous support line, respectively around $45.40 and $45.60, a two-day-long resistance line near $45.75/80 could challenge the energy bulls afterward.

In a case where the oil prices rise beyond $45.80, the recently flashed multi-month high of $46.30 and March month’s high near $48.85 gains market attention.

Alternatively, a downside break below $44.79 will eye 50% Fibonacci retracement of November 19-25 advances, at $43.80.

Should there be further declines below $43.80, November 23 high near $43.40 may return to the charts.

WTI hourly chart

Trend: Further recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price45.11
Today Daily Change0.22
Today Daily Change %0.49%
Today daily open44.89
 
Trends
Daily SMA2041.01
Daily SMA5040.34
Daily SMA10040.79
Daily SMA20036.86
 
Levels
Previous Daily High46.14
Previous Daily Low44.8
Previous Weekly High42.68
Previous Weekly Low40.36
Previous Monthly High41.93
Previous Monthly Low35.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%45.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%45.63
Daily Pivot Point S144.41
Daily Pivot Point S243.93
Daily Pivot Point S343.07
Daily Pivot Point R145.76
Daily Pivot Point R246.62
Daily Pivot Point R347.1

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid above 1.1700 as risk flows dominate

EUR/USD posts small gains above 1.1700 in early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar remains broadly subdued amid a risk-on market profile, underpinning the pair. 

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD is clinging to recovery gains near 1.3400 in early Europe on Monday. The pair capitalizes on an upbeat market mood and a steady US Dollar as traders digest the recent

 monetary policy decisions by the Fed and the BoE.

Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is hitting fresh record highs above $4,400 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.