|

WTI Price Analysis: Bulls remain in the game despite strong drop

  • WTI price is on the back side of the channel, so that is longer-term bullish. 
  • WTI H4 M-formation is bullish and a break of the neckline will likely put the bias back in favour.
  • Break below $76.40 will be putting on some serious heat on the committed bulls.

As per the prior analysis, the price has been in a phase of distribution for the month of December, so far, following a break of a major bear channel as the following analysis will illustrate: 

WTI prior analysis

In the above daily charts, it was shown that WTI was seen moving into prior highs and this had swept liquidity where a schematic of distribution was being printed:

A move towards where WTI short position stops were likely located was anticipated as per the above hourly chart.

A continuation of the downside in Oil to target liquidity below $78.00 was expected eventually while below $81.50:

WTI update

The W-formation on the daily chart has seen the price move to test the neckline. 

On the 4-hour chart, the M-formation is bullish and a break of the neckline, or a 50% mean reversion, will likely put the bias back in favour of the bull for a continuation higher. After all, the price is on the back side of the channel, so that is longer-term bullish.  However, a break below $76.40 will be putting on some serious heat on the committed bulls as per the following daily and 4-hour charts:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.