WTI Price Analysis: Bears are waiting to pounce but bulls putting up a fight

WTI is attempting to breakdown but the bulls stay in charge.
A break of $79.00 is required for bearish thesis to be solidified.

Ross J Burland FXStreet

WTI crude also rose 4.6% for the week, marking the fifth consecutive weekly increase, the longest winning streak since the week ending June 10, 2022. This leaves the longs exposed for the days ahead with the past 5 weeks of fundamentals playing in and ripe for a squeeze despite this week's EIA data that was skewed slightly bullish.

The following analysis is leaning bearish, but there are a number of developments that need to occur to conclude the thesis of a long squeeze for the week ahead:

WTI weekly charts

The bearish Gartley is compelling as is the weekly W-formation:

However, the price is still very much front side of the bullish trendline.

WTI daily charts

Do we have a final peak formation coming into play with trapped longs up top?

The daily chart's W formation is also compelling, although has it failed to draw in the price? So far the bulls stay in control into weekly resistance.

WTI H4 chart

A break of the trendline is required and we also need to see a breakout $79 structure before a bearish thesis can be solidified.

Author

Ross J Burland

FXStreet

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold keeps the bid tone in place; still below $4,400

Gold adds to the optimism seen in the second half of the week, trading with decent gains just below the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s advance finds traction in declining crude oil prices and fresh selling pressure on the US Dollar.

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital

If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The BoJ raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the policy phase had changed.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.