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WTI Price Analysis: Bear pennant challenges Oil buyers around mid-$68.00s

  • WTI clings to mild gains during the first positive day in three, fades upside momentum of late.
  • Sustained break of previous key support, bearish chart formation keeps Oil bears hopeful.
  • Clear break of $67.95 can trigger fresh downswing, bulls remain cautious below $74.70.

WTI crude oil consolidates the biggest weekly loss in three by printing minor upside near $68.50, making 1.10% intraday gains heading into Thursday’s European session. In doing so, the black gold snaps two-day downtrend but stays within an immediate bear pennant chart formation suggesting further declines of the energy benchmark.

It’s worth noting that the quote’s early-week break of an upward-sloping support line from May 15, now resistance near $71.75, joins the near 50.0 level of RSI (14) line to keep the sellers hopeful.

However, a clear downside break of the stated pennant’s bottom line, close to $67.95 by the press time, becomes necessary for the Oil sellers to retake control.

Following that, a slump towards the previous monthly low of around $64.30 can’t be ruled out. Though, $66.75 may act as an intermediate halt during the anticipated fall.

On the flip side, a clear break of the pennant’s top-line, near $68.80 at the latest, will defy the bearish chart formation and can propel the black gold towards a converngence of the 50-Hour Moving Average (HMA) and 50% Fibonacci retracement level of May’s upside, near $69.50.

In a case where the Oil price remains firmer past $69.50, the $70.00 round figure and the previous support line near $71.80 may act as extra checks for the bulls.

It should be observed that the energy buyers need to remain cautious unless witnessing a successful run-up beyond the previous monthly peak of around $74.70

WTI crude oil: Hourly chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price68.42
Today Daily Change0.77
Today Daily Change %1.14%
Today daily open67.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA2071.69
Daily SMA5074.73
Daily SMA10075.86
Daily SMA20079.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High69.74
Previous Daily Low67.12
Previous Weekly High74.7
Previous Weekly Low70.66
Previous Monthly High76.61
Previous Monthly Low64.31
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%68.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%68.74
Daily Pivot Point S166.6
Daily Pivot Point S265.55
Daily Pivot Point S363.98
Daily Pivot Point R169.22
Daily Pivot Point R270.79
Daily Pivot Point R371.84

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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