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WTI Price Analysis: Aims to extend rally above $78.00

  • The oil prices have displayed a vertical run-up amid optimism over China’s reopening for international travelers.
  • A Symmetrical Triangle formation is indicating a volatility contraction on a broader note.
  • The RSI (14) has entered into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which might result in the activation of bullish momentum.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, are facing barricades in a stretching rally above the immediate hurdle of $78.00 in the early Asian session. Earlier, the black gold displayed a solid north-side move after supposing the critical resistance at around $77.00 as China reopened its economy for international travel, which has forced think tanks for an upward revision of oil demand projections.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is continuously demonstrating topsy-turvy moves around 103.00 ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will release on Thursday.

On a four-hour scale, the oil price is auctioning in a Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern that indicates volatility contraction. An explosion of the aforementioned chart pattern results in wider ticks and heavy volume. The upward-sloping trendline of the chart pattern is placed from December 9 low at $70.27. While the downward-sloping trendline is plotted from December 1 high at $83.30.

The 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are on the verge of delivering a bull cross.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has entered into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which might result in the activation of bullish momentum.

Usually, a perpendicular run-up is followed by a corrective move, therefore it will be optimal to place a long entry around the immediate support, which is January 9 high at $76.90. This will drive the asset toward Wednesday’s high of around $78.00, followed by January 3 high at $81.56.

Alternatively, a break below January 5 low at $72.64 will drag the oil price toward December 9 low at $70.27. The asset would be exposed for more downside to near 14 December 2021 low at $69.32 after surrendering the support at December 9 low at $70.27.

WTI four-hour chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price77.82
Today Daily Change0.01
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open77.81
 
Trends
Daily SMA2077.15
Daily SMA5079.26
Daily SMA10082.58
Daily SMA20092.64
 
Levels
Previous Daily High78
Previous Daily Low74.52
Previous Weekly High81.56
Previous Weekly Low72.64
Previous Monthly High83.3
Previous Monthly Low70.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%76.67
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%75.85
Daily Pivot Point S175.55
Daily Pivot Point S273.29
Daily Pivot Point S372.07
Daily Pivot Point R179.03
Daily Pivot Point R280.26
Daily Pivot Point R382.51

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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