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WTI Price Analysis: 50/100-HMA confluence guards immediate upside

  • WTI prints mild losses while declining below $48.00.
  • Receding MACD histogram, strong upside hurdle challenge bulls.
  • Two-week-old horizontal support restricts short-term declines, buyers can remain hopeful beyond August top.

WTI eases to $47.79, down 0.10% intraday, during early Tuesday. The energy benchmark posted the biggest daily losses in six weeks the previous day. Though, a horizontal line comprising multiple levels since December 09 restricted further downside.

It should, however, be noted that the corrective recovery beyond the stated support line fails to cross a confluence of 50 and 100-HMAs. The receding upside momentum also takes clues from the MACD histogram, which in turn suggests the immediate weakness of the black gold.

As a result, the $47.00 threshold can lure the oil sellers ahead of directing them to the aforementioned support near $46.25. Though, any further weakness will not hesitate to challenge the monthly low near $44.00.

However, WTI buyers are likely to remain hopeful unless witnessing a daily closing below August month’s top near $43.85.

On the contrary, a clear break above the SMA convergence near $48.15 will quickly challenge the multi-month peak, marked last Friday, near $49.45.

Overall, the energy prices are in an uptrend that eyes the $50.00 threshold.

WTI hourly chart

Trend: Bullish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price47.8
Today Daily Change-0.04
Today Daily Change %-0.08%
Today daily open47.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA2046.4
Daily SMA5042.62
Daily SMA10041.75
Daily SMA20037
 
Levels
Previous Daily High49.26
Previous Daily Low46.27
Previous Weekly High49.43
Previous Weekly Low45.87
Previous Monthly High46.31
Previous Monthly Low33.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%47.41
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%48.12
Daily Pivot Point S146.32
Daily Pivot Point S244.8
Daily Pivot Point S343.33
Daily Pivot Point R149.31
Daily Pivot Point R250.78
Daily Pivot Point R352.29

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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