|

WTI juggles around $80.50 on lower-than-anticipated oil inventories

  • Oil price is oscillating around $80.50 as investors await US GDP for fresh cues.
  • The black gold has not shown any power-pack action despite a smaller-than-expected jump in oil inventories.
  • United States President Joe Biden is considering refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, is displaying back-and-forth moves around $80.50 in the early Asian session. The black gold is displaying a sideways auction as investors are awaiting the release of the United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for fresh impetus. According to the estimates, the US GDP is expected to shrink to 2.8% vs. the prior release of 3.2%.

The declining scale of economic activities indicates the consequences of rising interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed). A contraction in economic activities clears that the oil demand is facing pressure, which could hurt the oil prices ahead. On the same note, the chances of a slowdown in the pace of the interest rate hike by the Fed will accelerate as a contraction in economic activities will also strengthen recession fears.

The oil price has not shown a power-pack action despite the release of the lower-than-anticipated increase in the oil inventories reported by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). For the week ending January 20, the EIA has reported an increase in oil stockpiles by 533,000 barrels vs. the expectations of 971,000 barrels.

Meanwhile, celebrations of the Lunar New Year in China have triggered short-term pain in the oil price. Economic activities have dropped significantly which has trimmed the oil demand and might result in a pile-up of oil inventories.

On the supply front, the United States is considering refilling of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). US President Joe Biden exploited the oil reserves in CY2022 to fight rising oil prices, which could result in a fresh rally in the oil price ahead.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price80.51
Today Daily Change0.33
Today Daily Change %0.41
Today daily open80.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA2078.4
Daily SMA5077.95
Daily SMA10081.7
Daily SMA20091.73
 
Levels
Previous Daily High82.29
Previous Daily Low79.74
Previous Weekly High82.67
Previous Weekly Low78.48
Previous Monthly High83.3
Previous Monthly Low70.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%80.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.32
Daily Pivot Point S179.18
Daily Pivot Point S278.19
Daily Pivot Point S376.63
Daily Pivot Point R181.73
Daily Pivot Point R283.29
Daily Pivot Point R384.28

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.