|

WTI extends downward correction toward $62 ahead of US rigs data

  • WTI remains under bearish pressure after breaking below $63.
  • Broad USD strength is weighing on crude oil prices on Friday.
  • OPEC+ is reportedly is looking to ramp up production from April.

The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) touched its highest level in more than a year at $63.80 on Thursday but staged a deep correction on Friday. As of writing, WTI was down 1.8% on a daily basis at $62.30.

WTI looks to post impressive monthly gains in February

Earlier in the week, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a surprise 1.2 million barrels build in US crude oil stocks and limited WTI's gains. Additionally, the broad-based USD strength in the second half of the week amid surging Treasury bond yields is weighing on USD-denominated oil prices. 

Meanwhile, Reuters reported on Wednesday that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies, a group known as OPEC+, could opt-out to increase the oil production by 500K barrels per day from April. Sources familiar with the matter told Reuters that Saudi Arabia could start rolling out the voluntarily supply reductions as well.

Despite the recent pullback, WTI is still up more than 5% on a weekly basis. Furthermore, WTI remains on track to close the fourth straight month in the positive territory and is gaining nearly 20% in February.

Later in the day, Baker Hughes Energy Services' weekly oil rig count data for the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch for

WTI

Overview
Today last price62.27
Today Daily Change-1.01
Today Daily Change %-1.60
Today daily open63.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA2058.59
Daily SMA5053.81
Daily SMA10048.05
Daily SMA20043.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High63.72
Previous Daily Low62.59
Previous Weekly High62.25
Previous Weekly Low58.58
Previous Monthly High53.94
Previous Monthly Low47.26
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%63.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%63.02
Daily Pivot Point S162.67
Daily Pivot Point S262.07
Daily Pivot Point S361.55
Daily Pivot Point R163.8
Daily Pivot Point R264.32
Daily Pivot Point R364.92

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above multi-month lows and 0.6900 ahead of Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest bounce from its lowest level since early July and trades above 0.6900 during the Asian session on Friday. Thursday's disappointing Australian jobs data tempered RBA rate-hike bets, capping the Aussie. The US Dollar (USD), meanwhile, is regaining positive traction as this week's hot US CPI and PPI reports keep Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. This further keeps a lid on the pair ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speech.

USD/JPY climbs above 158.00 as USD edges higher ahead of Warsh's speech

USD/JPY attracts some buyers during the Asian session on Friday, building on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of 157.50, or a one-week low, amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. This week's hot US CPI and PPI reports lifted Fed rate-hike bets, which, along with stable US bond yields and geopolitical uncertainties, help revive USD demand. Traders, however, remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which could cap the currency pair ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech.

Gold weakens to $4,150 amid reviving USD demand as traders await Warsh's speech

Gold drifts lower during the Asian session on Friday, reversing part of the previous day's move up amid reviving US Dollar demand. US inflation data released this week reaffirmed bets for at least one Fed rate hike this year, while US bond yields stabilize after Thursday's steep decline. This, along with geopolitical risks, underpins the safe-haven USD, which, in turn, is seen weighing on bullion ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech.

Ethereum reclaims $2,400 as PPI hits 6.3% and yields fall
Ethereum (ETH) is back above $2,400 on Thursday, rebounding from a brief decline toward $2,340, which was sparked by an upside surprise in the US wholesale inflation report. The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 1.3% monthly and 6.3% annually in September, far above expectations of 0.5% and 5.3%, respectively.
The Iran war will eventually end. Tariffs won't. Here's the problem
Two cost shocks are in the September Consumer Price Index (CPI), and they have different half-lives. Energy is up 20.4% on the year and accounts for about 1.3 points of the 3.7% headline, and that shock reverses when Oil does: Brent was back at its pre-war price on July 1 and above $100 again by the end of the month, after the ceasefire collapsed on July 8.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.