|

WTI drops to near $85.00 as recession fears escalate, US CPI buzz

  • Oil prices have shifted into a negative trajectory amid accelerating US recession fears.
  • A tight US inflation report would force the Fed to continue the current pace of hiking interest rates.
  • US President Joe Biden believes that the recession situation will be slight if it occurs.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, witnessed a steep fall to near $85.00 after surrendering the critical support of $87.00. The oil prices have attempted a rebound, however, the downside risks are still favored amid escalating fears of a recession in the US economy.

Tuesday’s warning from chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon that the US economy could slip into recession in the coming six to nine months grabbed the spotlight. He further added that the Eurozone is already in recession and it may put the mighty US into recession too. He cited soaring inflation and interest rates, and the war situation as responsible for the recession situation ahead reported NewsBytes.

While US President Joe Biden has denied an extreme recession situation in the US, he believes that ''If recession will be there, it’ll be very slight. The comments from US President Joe Biden could be a sigh of relief for the market participants.

On the global front, International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut global growth projections. The institution has trimmed its 2023 global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecast to 2.7%, 20 basis points (bps) lower than expectations in July, keeping the 2022 projections unchanged at 3.2%. A decline in the global growth rate may keep the oil prices volatile ahead.

For further guidance, Tuesday’s inflation report will be the key catalyst. Price pressures in the US economy have not responded well to the policy tightening announcements by the Federal Reserve (Fed). And, a higher-than-projected report would bolster the case of the fourth consecutive 75 basis points (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed). More stretching in Fed’s policy rates would dwindle the oil demand.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price86.05
Today Daily Change0.04
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open86.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA2084.01
Daily SMA5087.14
Daily SMA10096.28
Daily SMA20097.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High88.85
Previous Daily Low85.22
Previous Weekly High92.36
Previous Weekly Low79.32
Previous Monthly High90.14
Previous Monthly Low76.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%86.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%87.46
Daily Pivot Point S184.54
Daily Pivot Point S283.07
Daily Pivot Point S380.92
Daily Pivot Point R188.16
Daily Pivot Point R290.32
Daily Pivot Point R391.79

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).