|

WTI drops to near $85.00 as recession fears escalate, US CPI buzz

  • Oil prices have shifted into a negative trajectory amid accelerating US recession fears.
  • A tight US inflation report would force the Fed to continue the current pace of hiking interest rates.
  • US President Joe Biden believes that the recession situation will be slight if it occurs.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, witnessed a steep fall to near $85.00 after surrendering the critical support of $87.00. The oil prices have attempted a rebound, however, the downside risks are still favored amid escalating fears of a recession in the US economy.

Tuesday’s warning from chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon that the US economy could slip into recession in the coming six to nine months grabbed the spotlight. He further added that the Eurozone is already in recession and it may put the mighty US into recession too. He cited soaring inflation and interest rates, and the war situation as responsible for the recession situation ahead reported NewsBytes.

While US President Joe Biden has denied an extreme recession situation in the US, he believes that ''If recession will be there, it’ll be very slight. The comments from US President Joe Biden could be a sigh of relief for the market participants.

On the global front, International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut global growth projections. The institution has trimmed its 2023 global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecast to 2.7%, 20 basis points (bps) lower than expectations in July, keeping the 2022 projections unchanged at 3.2%. A decline in the global growth rate may keep the oil prices volatile ahead.

For further guidance, Tuesday’s inflation report will be the key catalyst. Price pressures in the US economy have not responded well to the policy tightening announcements by the Federal Reserve (Fed). And, a higher-than-projected report would bolster the case of the fourth consecutive 75 basis points (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed). More stretching in Fed’s policy rates would dwindle the oil demand.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price86.05
Today Daily Change0.04
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open86.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA2084.01
Daily SMA5087.14
Daily SMA10096.28
Daily SMA20097.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High88.85
Previous Daily Low85.22
Previous Weekly High92.36
Previous Weekly Low79.32
Previous Monthly High90.14
Previous Monthly Low76.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%86.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%87.46
Daily Pivot Point S184.54
Daily Pivot Point S283.07
Daily Pivot Point S380.92
Daily Pivot Point R188.16
Daily Pivot Point R290.32
Daily Pivot Point R391.79

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.