|

WTI consolidates above $40 as the Baker Hughes rig count data plateaus

  • U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 251 vs previous 251 (exp 245).

  • WTI prices pick back up after the data but the price remains 0.10% lower on Friday. 

Has the Baker Hughes rig count found its bottom?

The Baker Hughes weekly rig count data stalled again at 251. In the data shown below, you can see since 15th May the number of rigs online has been diminishing. The rate of change is now much slower and this is the first time the number has recorded the same since 14th Feb 2020. 

Jul 31, 2020 251  - Jul 24, 2020 251 - Jul 17, 2020 253 - Jul 10, 2020 258 - Jul 02, 2020 263 - Jun 26, 2020 265 - Jun 19, 2020 266 - Jun 12, 2020 279 - Jun 05, 2020 284 - May 29, 2020 301 - May 22, 2020 318 - May 15, 2020 339.

WTI 4-hour chart

Looking at the chart below, the price has now stalled at USD 40.40 per barrel. There has been some recent selling pressure but it seems today after the OPEC report the price found some support. Total OPEC production did increase but maybe not as much as some had anticipated. There has been a trendline break at the green level and if the price moved toward the line again it could be a resistance point. First up is the red horizontal line at 40.75 and any break above there could indicate that the uptrend is back on after a minor blip lower.

WTI Baker Hughes

Additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price40.42
Today Daily Change-0.05
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open40.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA2040.89
Daily SMA5038.89
Daily SMA10032.1
Daily SMA20043.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High41.5
Previous Daily Low39.1
Previous Weekly High42.52
Previous Weekly Low39.99
Previous Monthly High41.65
Previous Monthly Low34.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%40.02
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%40.59
Daily Pivot Point S139.21
Daily Pivot Point S237.96
Daily Pivot Point S336.82
Daily Pivot Point R141.61
Daily Pivot Point R242.76
Daily Pivot Point R344.01

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

More from Rajan Dhall, MSTA
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Week ahead – RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP

Dollar rebounds ahead of ISM PMI and NFP data. RBNZ is expected to raise rates; focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC is set to remain on hold; will it raise rates in 2027?

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.