WTI bears move in below $80.00 as suply risks abate


  • WTI holds steady in the Asian session as supply risks start to abate. 
  • Investors keeping an eye on Russia risks and Omricon. 

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil settled lower on Monday as supply disruptions in Libya and Kazakhstan eased. Some supplies were restored in Kazakhstan, while Libyan oil production rose to 900,000b/d after maintenance work.  However, rising Omicron cases didn’t help either. 

At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $78.50 and is flat on the day so far while investors watch closely China’s Omicron spread, as policy could trigger more travel restrictions. 

China is battling to stamp out its first outbreak of the Omicron variant, only weeks before the Chinese new year and the Beijing Winter Olympics, with cases recorded in at least two distant provinces. On Monday, health authorities reported 97 new locally transmitted cases for the preceding 24 hours, across several cities.

At least 30 cases were in Henan province, while at least 31 new cases were reported in Tianjin, including 15 children aged five to 15. Omicron, the latest variant of Covid-19 is tearing through other countries around the world also. Sweden became the latest country to introduce new restrictions to halt the spread of the omicron variant.

Elsewhere, oil could still find support on tighter supplies and supply risk from Russia. There is much focus on security discussions this week between Russia and the West in order to address tension in eastern Ukraine.

Talks took place with the US today (Geneva) and will now move to Brussels for discussions with NATO on Wednesday and subsequently with the OSCE. However, the bar for a 'break-through' is high which is potential support for the price of oil. 

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 78.09
Today Daily Change -0.60
Today Daily Change % -0.76
Today daily open 78.69
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 74.09
Daily SMA50 74.99
Daily SMA100 74.87
Daily SMA200 71.27
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 79.97
Previous Daily Low 78.18
Previous Weekly High 79.97
Previous Weekly Low 74.12
Previous Monthly High 77.26
Previous Monthly Low 62.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 78.86
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 79.29
Daily Pivot Point S1 77.92
Daily Pivot Point S2 77.15
Daily Pivot Point S3 76.12
Daily Pivot Point R1 79.71
Daily Pivot Point R2 80.74
Daily Pivot Point R3 81.51

 

 

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