|

WTI advances towards $76.00 as investors look optimist for Caixin Manufacturing PMI

  • Oil price looks exposed to recapture the $76.00 resistance ahead of Caixin Manufacturing PMI data.
  • Caixin Manufacturing PMI is expected to jump to 50.2 from the former release of 49.2.
  • BofA sees the terminal rate for the Fed above 6% amid resilience in the demand-drive inflation.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, have extended their recovery above the immediate resistance of $75.80 in the early Asian session. The oil price is exposed to the critical resistance of $76.00 as investors are optimistic about the release of the Caixin Manufacturing PMI data, which is scheduled for Wednesday.

Caixin Manufacturing PMI is expected to jump to 50.2 from the former release of 49.2. It is widely anticipated that the Chinese economy will outperform this year after three years of a strict lockdown to contain the spread of Covid-19. Chinese officials are dedicated to spurting overall growth through monetary and fiscal support as reopening measures require sufficient stimulus to infuse optimism in firms and households.

A report released by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), this week, claimed a rebound in the Chinese economy in 2023 as epidemic prevention has relaxed and consumption has improved. The report also conveys that the vision of the PBoC is not limited to the expansion of domestic demand but is widened to longer-term economic growth and price stability.

Meanwhile, fears of more rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) as its current monetary policy doesn’t look sufficient enough to bring down inflation, will keep the oil price on the tenterhooks. Analysts at Bank of America (BofA) expect Fed chair Jerome Powell to announce three more rate hikes this year considering the resilience in the demand-driven inflation. The BofA sees the terminal rate above 6% and recession appears more likely than a soft landing.

On Tuesday, the release of the oil inventories data by the United States American Petroleum Institute (API) will keep the oil price in action. Last week, the US agency reported a huge build-up of oil stockpiles by 9.89 million barrels.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price75.83
Today Daily Change-0.81
Today Daily Change %-1.06
Today daily open76.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA2077.22
Daily SMA5078.02
Daily SMA10080.25
Daily SMA20088.6
 
Levels
Previous Daily High76.66
Previous Daily Low74.15
Previous Weekly High77.75
Previous Weekly Low73.86
Previous Monthly High82.68
Previous Monthly Low72.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%75.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%75.11
Daily Pivot Point S174.97
Daily Pivot Point S273.31
Daily Pivot Point S372.47
Daily Pivot Point R177.48
Daily Pivot Point R278.32
Daily Pivot Point R379.98

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: Recovery appears capped by 0.7000

AUD/USD has reversed a multi-day positive streak, briefly revisiting the 0.6940 region before trimming part of those gains to end the day modestly on the back foot. The better tone in the Greenback has kept the pair under pressure, which has so far met decent contention in the vicinity of the 0.6900 zone. Moving forward, the Melbourne Institute’s Consumer Inflation Expectations is next on tap in Oz.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold trims losses, back above $4,100

Gold now manages to regain some balance, returning to the area above the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce following the closing bell in Europe on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s sharp pullback comes in tandem with marked gains in the US Dollar and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin vs Gold: BTC and XAU fall amid macro headwinds, but Ray Dalio still prefers Gold
Bitcoin (BTC) edges lower on Wednesday, trading near $83,000. The broader correction in the cryptocurrency market can be attributed to heavily leveraged long liquidations, macro and geopolitical pressure reducing risk appetite. Gold (XAU/USD), similarly, remains in bearish hands as it tests short-term support at $4,100.
Fed Minutes: Officials saw inflation risks worsening before September hike
All participants at the Federal Reserve's (Fed) September 15–16 meeting supported the 25-basis-point rate increase, while most judged that another hike would probably be appropriate by the end of the year. The Minutes show policymakers increasingly focused on upside inflation risks, a resilient economy and the possibility that strong AI investment could add to demand pressures.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.