|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican peso in a consolidation range, under 22.00

  • Mexican peso fails at key support and loses strength.
  • USD/MXN rebounds but still holds a bearish bias.

The USD/MXN pair printed a fresh two month lows on Tuesday at 21.45 and then rebounded. Again the area around 21.45/50 capped the downside and triggered a rebound toward 22.00. The greenback hit a daily high at 21.89 and then pulled back modestly.

In the very short-term the bias favors a further approximation to 22.00 (horizontal resistance, round number and the 100-EMA in four hours chart). A firm break higher would clear the way to more gains targeting 22.20 and also could signal a potential base.

If the consolidation range in USD/MXN prevails, approximation to 22.00 could be seen as an opportunity to sell with a first target slightly below 21.70 and the second at 21.50. Under 21.45, the next support area is seen at 21.30. The main trend remains bearish. 

USD/MXN 4-hour chart

 

USD/MXN

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price21.7606
Today Daily Change0.2611
Today Daily Change %1.21
Today daily open21.4995
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.7312
Daily SMA5023.5789
Daily SMA10021.9202
Daily SMA20020.585
 
Levels
Previous Daily High21.7217
Previous Daily Low21.4758
Previous Weekly High22.2833
Previous Weekly Low21.4932
Previous Monthly High24.8895
Previous Monthly Low22.0047
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.5697
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.6278
Daily Pivot Point S121.4096
Daily Pivot Point S221.3198
Daily Pivot Point S321.1637
Daily Pivot Point R121.6555
Daily Pivot Point R221.8116
Daily Pivot Point R321.9014

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).