USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican peso drops as Fitch downgrades Mexico to BBB-

Early Thursday morning in Asia, global rating giant Fitch downgrades Mexico’s credit rating from BBB to BBB- with a stable outlook.

Following the news, the USD/MXN pair surged from 23.95 to 24.30, currently around 24.23, while also probing the weekly top.

Also contributing to the pair’s strength could be the US dollar’s strength amid a broad risk-off wave mainly driven by the rise in the coronavirus (COVID-19) fatalities, downbeat US data and fears of the global recession.

Furthermore, oil price weakness can also be counted as a positive for the pair due to Mexico's reliance on the energy industry. WTI dropped on Wednesday, currently pressured around $20.00, as a surge in the official inventory data from the US added weakness into the oil benchmark.

While portraying the risk-off, Wall Street closed in red and the US 10-year Treasury yields dropped 11 basis points to 0.635% by the end of Wednesday in the US markets.

Moving on, traders will keep eyes on the US economic docket and the virus updates for fresh impetus while oil catalysts will also have their effects on the pair.

USD/MXN forecasts chart

Following its break of 200-HMA, USD/MXN is currently rising towards 24.80. It’s worth mentioning that sellers will look for entry below 23.80.

Trend: Further recovery expected