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USD/JPY stays firm around 135.70s despite a strong US dollar

  • The USD/JPY seesaws in a 100 pip range on Tuesday, limited by a mighty US dollar and falling US Treasury yields.
  • Risk-off impulse increased appetite for safe-haven assets, with the greenback taking the upper hand.
  • US Treasury yields drop more than 13 bps and are back below 2.80%.

The USD/JPY is almost unchanged in a trading session dominated by risk aversion, triggering flows toward safe-haven assets, and in the FX space, the USD, the JPY, and the CHF are the winners. Nevertheless, due to its risk-off nature, the USD/JPY is barely up 0.07%, trading around the 135.70s area.

USD/JPY range-bound capped by factors that boosts both currencies, to remain steady

Recession and high inflation worries are the headlines of the session. That said, European and US equities tumbled while safe-haven flows dominated the session, with the US Dollar Index, which pairs the greenback vs. six currencies, gaining 1.50%, sitting at 106.716. in the meantime, the USD/JPY seesawed in the 135.50-136.40 area during the day, within familiar ranges.

On the downside, the USD/JPY was capped by the strength of the greenback, but on the upside, falling US Treasury yields, mainly the US 10-year Treasury yields, are nose-diving thirteen basis points, sitting at 2.794%, well below the 3.50% YTD high.

In the meantime, Tuesday’s Asian Pacific session’s upbeat mood spurred by talks between US/Chinese officials was short-lived. Despite newswires stating that US President Biden is expected to roll back tariffs on Chinese imports soon, it could not overshadow the looming stagflation scenario in the worldwide economy.

In the meantime, the Japanese economic docket featured the Jibun Bank Services and Composite PMIs, for June, which showed the economy’s resilience, printing better than expected figures. Across the pond, the US calendar featured positive data, with Durable Goods Orders and Factory Orders beating forecasts.

Later in the week, an absent Japanese economic docket will leave USD/JPY traders adrift to US data. The US macroeconomic calendar will reveal the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIs, JOLTs Job Openings, and FOMC Minutes. Furthermore, Fed officials will be crossing newswires, led by the New York Fed President John Williams on Wednesday, while Christopher Waller and the St. Louis Fed President Bullard on Thursday.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price135.75
Today Daily Change0.28
Today Daily Change %0.21
Today daily open135.54
 
Trends
Daily SMA20134.97
Daily SMA50131.44
Daily SMA100125.92
Daily SMA200119.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High135.78
Previous Daily Low134.78
Previous Weekly High137
Previous Weekly Low134.52
Previous Monthly High137
Previous Monthly Low128.65
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%135.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%135.16
Daily Pivot Point S1134.96
Daily Pivot Point S2134.37
Daily Pivot Point S3133.96
Daily Pivot Point R1135.95
Daily Pivot Point R2136.36
Daily Pivot Point R3136.94

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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