|

USD/JPY spikes to fresh daily top, retakes 150.00 mark after BoJ policy decision

  • USD/JPY attracts fresh buying on Tuesday and draws support from a combination of factors.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations, along with elevated US bond yields, help revive the USD demand.
  • The JPY weakens after the BoJ changed the language around YCC and maintained ultra-low rates.

The USD/JPY pair regains positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday and snaps a two-day losing streak to the 148.80 area, or a two-week low touched the previous day. The buying interest picks up pace after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced its policy decision, pushing spot prices to the 150.00 psychological mark, or a fresh daily high in the last hour.

The Japanese central bank refrained from altering its yield curve control (YCC) policy, though changed language around the target range for the benchmark 10-year yield. The BoJ decides to keep the yield target but make 1% a reference cap. The move comes on the back of pressure from a sell-off in bond markets through October, which had lifted the yield on the 10-year JGB to a 10-year peak earlier this Tuesday. The BoJ, however, maintained its ultra-low interest rates despite an uptick in Japanese inflation. This continues to weigh on the Japanese Yen (JPY) and lends support to the USD/JPY pair.

The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, attracts some dip-buying and recovers a part of the overnight slide amid elevated US Treasury bond yields, bolstered by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance. In fact, the markets seem convinced that the US central bank will tighten its monetary policy further in the wake of the resilient economy and still sticky inflation. This, in turn, suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/JPY pair is to the upside, though bulls might wait for BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting presser before placing fresh bets.

The market attention will then turn to the US economic docket, featuring the release of the Chicago PMI and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, due later during the early North American session. The focus, however, will remain glued to the outcome of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting, scheduled to be announced on Wednesday. Investors will look for cues about the Fed's future rate-hike path, which will play a key role in influencing the near-term USD price dynamics and help determine the next leg of a directional move for the USD/JPY pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price149.92
Today Daily Change0.82
Today Daily Change %0.55
Today daily open149.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA20149.48
Daily SMA50148.25
Daily SMA100145.35
Daily SMA200139.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.86
Previous Daily Low148.81
Previous Weekly High150.78
Previous Weekly Low149.32
Previous Monthly High149.71
Previous Monthly Low144.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%149.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%149.46
Daily Pivot Point S1148.65
Daily Pivot Point S2148.2
Daily Pivot Point S3147.6
Daily Pivot Point R1149.7
Daily Pivot Point R2150.3
Daily Pivot Point R3150.75

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Breakdown below trading range support near 1.1770 comes into play

The EUR/USD pair opens with a bearish gap at the start of a new week as the US-Iran war-led global flight to safety boosts the US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above mid-1.1700s during the Asian session.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold retreats from $5,400; still up over 1% amid Middle East tensions

Gold retreats from the $5,400 neighborhood, or its highest level since late January, touched in the Asian session on Monday, though it manages to hold above the $5,300 round figure. The bright metal opened with a bullish gap of about $17 and rallied toward the $5,400 level as Asian traders hit their desks and reacted negatively to the weekend news of the US and Israel attacks on Iran, rushing for cover in Gold.

Top Crypto Losers: Tezos, Toncoin, and Polkadot at crucial levels amid US-Israel strike on Iran

Altcoins such as Tezos, Toncoin, and Polkadot rank among the worst hit cryptocurrencies over the last 24 hours amid the US and Israel's attack on Iran. Tezos and Toncoin are down to crucial support levels while Polkadot remains near a crucial resistance trendline, showcasing underlying strength.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.