|

USD/JPY spikes to fresh daily top, retakes 150.00 mark after BoJ policy decision

  • USD/JPY attracts fresh buying on Tuesday and draws support from a combination of factors.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations, along with elevated US bond yields, help revive the USD demand.
  • The JPY weakens after the BoJ changed the language around YCC and maintained ultra-low rates.

The USD/JPY pair regains positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday and snaps a two-day losing streak to the 148.80 area, or a two-week low touched the previous day. The buying interest picks up pace after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced its policy decision, pushing spot prices to the 150.00 psychological mark, or a fresh daily high in the last hour.

The Japanese central bank refrained from altering its yield curve control (YCC) policy, though changed language around the target range for the benchmark 10-year yield. The BoJ decides to keep the yield target but make 1% a reference cap. The move comes on the back of pressure from a sell-off in bond markets through October, which had lifted the yield on the 10-year JGB to a 10-year peak earlier this Tuesday. The BoJ, however, maintained its ultra-low interest rates despite an uptick in Japanese inflation. This continues to weigh on the Japanese Yen (JPY) and lends support to the USD/JPY pair.

The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, attracts some dip-buying and recovers a part of the overnight slide amid elevated US Treasury bond yields, bolstered by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance. In fact, the markets seem convinced that the US central bank will tighten its monetary policy further in the wake of the resilient economy and still sticky inflation. This, in turn, suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/JPY pair is to the upside, though bulls might wait for BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting presser before placing fresh bets.

The market attention will then turn to the US economic docket, featuring the release of the Chicago PMI and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, due later during the early North American session. The focus, however, will remain glued to the outcome of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting, scheduled to be announced on Wednesday. Investors will look for cues about the Fed's future rate-hike path, which will play a key role in influencing the near-term USD price dynamics and help determine the next leg of a directional move for the USD/JPY pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price149.92
Today Daily Change0.82
Today Daily Change %0.55
Today daily open149.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA20149.48
Daily SMA50148.25
Daily SMA100145.35
Daily SMA200139.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.86
Previous Daily Low148.81
Previous Weekly High150.78
Previous Weekly Low149.32
Previous Monthly High149.71
Previous Monthly Low144.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%149.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%149.46
Daily Pivot Point S1148.65
Daily Pivot Point S2148.2
Daily Pivot Point S3147.6
Daily Pivot Point R1149.7
Daily Pivot Point R2150.3
Daily Pivot Point R3150.75

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).